aiqbench analysis
This paper addresses the theoretical foundations of catastrophic forgetting in online continual learning by deriving explicit bounds for single-pass Shuffle SGD across convex and neural network settings. The analysis identifies how per-task data volume, task similarity, and ordering influence forgetting, with experimental results on Split-CIFAR-100 and PMNIST confirming that these theoretical trends hold beyond strictly convex objectives.
Formalizing Forgetting: Theory of Forgetting for Online Continual Learning
arXiv:2610.14787v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online continual learning (OCL) requires a learner to acquire a sequence of tasks in a single pass over the data, and catastrophic forgetting of earlier tasks remains its central challenge. Despite the many methods proposed to mitigate forgetting, the theoretical understanding of forgetting in OCL is still limited: existing analyses mostly focus on linear, overparameterized, or neural tangent kernel regimes, and it remains unclear which factors govern forgetting and how they affect it. To fill this gap, we analyze single-pass Shuffle SGD under strongly convex and general convex objectives and derive explicit upper bounds on the expected final forgetting. Further analysis of these bounds shows how the per-task data amount, task similarity, and task ordering enter them, and that their effects can differ across objective classes. Moreover, experiments with neural networks on Split-CIFAR-100 and PMNIST show that the trends suggested by our theory also appear in practice, indicating that these insights extend beyond the convex setting.
Abstract:Online continual learning (OCL) requires a learner to acquire a sequence of tasks in a single pass over the data, and catastrophic forgetting of earlier tasks remains its central challenge. Despite the many methods proposed to mitigate forgetting, the theoretical understanding of forgetting in OCL is still limited: existing analyses mostly focus on linear, overparameterized, or neural tangent kernel regimes, and it remains unclear which factors govern forgetting and how they affect it. To fill this gap, we analyze single-pass Shuffle SGD under strongly convex and general convex objectives and derive explicit upper bounds on the expected final forgetting. Further analysis of these bounds shows how the per-task data amount, task similarity, and task ordering enter them, and that their effects can differ across objective classes. Moreover, experiments with neural networks on Split-CIFAR-100 and PMNIST show that the trends suggested by our theory also appear in practice, indicating that these insights extend beyond the convex setting.
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2610.14787 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2610.14787v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.14787 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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