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This paper introduces a novel neuro-fuzzy framework designed to make black-box deep learning models interpretable for critical maritime maintenance tasks. By combining gradient-based saliency maps with fuzzy decision trees, the system achieves near-perfect prediction accuracy (up to 99% AUC-ROC) while providing user-understandable local rules and feature attributions. The work advances AI safety and trustworthiness by bridging the gap between high-performance neural networks and explainable logic in industrial fault detection scenarios.
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Explainable Neuro-Fuzzy Prediction for Trustworthy Decision-Making in Maritime

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2609.24358v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting when maritime systems require maintenance can be critical, avoiding hazards and costly consequences. To address this problem, this paper proposes an explainable decision-making framework that integrates a neuro-fuzzy prediction model with a two-stage explainable component. The first stage of this component produces feature-attribution explanations, using gradient-based saliency maps, and the second stage extracts local rules using a fuzzy decision tree. The proposed framework is generic and can be integrated into any deep learning-based approach, rendering it explainable. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first fuzzy logic-based framework enabling both feature-level and local rule-based explanations of black box models. This approach aims to foster trustworthiness in decision making through user-understandable machine inferences. The performance of the proposed framework using a deep residual-based neural backbone is evaluated on various general-purpose public benchmark datasets, and its utility in maritime is demonstrated in the context of early fault detection in a naval propulsion system dataset. The results indicate that it can provide predictions outperforming relevant state-of-the-art approaches, with an average AUC-ROC (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve) value, reaching up to 99%, while offering the advantage of explainability.

Abstract:Predicting when maritime systems require maintenance can be critical, avoiding hazards and costly consequences. To address this problem, this paper proposes an explainable decision-making framework that integrates a neuro-fuzzy prediction model with a two-stage explainable component. The first stage of this component produces feature-attribution explanations, using gradient-based saliency maps, and the second stage extracts local rules using a fuzzy decision tree. The proposed framework is generic and can be integrated into any deep learning-based approach, rendering it explainable. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first fuzzy logic-based framework enabling both feature-level and local rule-based explanations of black box models. This approach aims to foster trustworthiness in decision making through user-understandable machine inferences. The performance of the proposed framework using a deep residual-based neural backbone is evaluated on various general-purpose public benchmark datasets, and its utility in maritime is demonstrated in the context of early fault detection in a naval propulsion system dataset. The results indicate that it can provide predictions outperforming relevant state-of-the-art approaches, with an average AUC-ROC (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve) value, reaching up to 99%, while offering the advantage of explainability.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.24358 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.24358v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.24358 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 283 words

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