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This research proposes a constrained Bethe free energy formulation for active inference agents, addressing the mathematical limitations of expected free energy when handling unobserved outcomes in message passing frameworks. By introducing specific information constraints on mutual information between future observations and states, the study demonstrates how an agent's epistemic drive can be regulated across inactive, interior, and saturated regimes without sacrificing theoretical consistency. The work offers a significant methodological advance for scalable probabilistic inference models within artificial intelligence systems.
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Expected free energy as an information constraint on the Bethe Lagrangian

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.17167v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Active inference selects actions by minimising an expected free energy functional over predicted futures. However, adding an expectation over yet-unobserved outcomes means the free energy functional no longer has a Kullback-Leibler structure, which hinders message passing treatments of inference procedures. We propose an alternative formulation based on a Bethe free energy functional, fully supporting inference by message passing. The epistemic drive is maintained by imposing an information constraint, next to normalisation, marginalisation and form constraints, insisting that the mutual information between future observations, states and parameters given actions must be at least as large as the entropy of the goal prior. For a specific value of the corresponding Karush-Kuhn-Tucker multiplier, the stationary point of this constrained Bethe Lagrangian recovers the expected free energy solution. We show that, as the information demand is varied, the solved multiplier moves through its inactive, interior, and saturated regimes. In the inactive regime the agent's epistemic drive switches off entirely, while in the saturated regime it is maximal. We compare the performance of the constrained Bethe agent on three tasks against EFE and Q-MDP.

Abstract:Active inference selects actions by minimising an expected free energy functional over predicted futures. However, adding an expectation over yet-unobserved outcomes means the free energy functional no longer has a Kullback-Leibler structure, which hinders message passing treatments of inference procedures. We propose an alternative formulation based on a Bethe free energy functional, fully supporting inference by message passing. The epistemic drive is maintained by imposing an information constraint, next to normalisation, marginalisation and form constraints, insisting that the mutual information between future observations, states and parameters given actions must be at least as large as the entropy of the goal prior. For a specific value of the corresponding Karush-Kuhn-Tucker multiplier, the stationary point of this constrained Bethe Lagrangian recovers the expected free energy solution. We show that, as the information demand is varied, the solved multiplier moves through its inactive, interior, and saturated regimes. In the inactive regime the agent's epistemic drive switches off entirely, while in the saturated regime it is maximal. We compare the performance of the constrained Bethe agent on three tasks against EFE and Q-MDP.

17 pages, 4 figures, table 2. International Workshop on Active Inference

Information Theory (cs.IT); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Systems and Control (eess.SY); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2608.17167 [cs.IT]

(or arXiv:2608.17167v1 [cs.IT] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.17167 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 294 words

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