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This research extends theoretical guarantees for variational inference by relaxing the restrictive log-concave assumption, enabling robust recovery of target statistics even for multi-modal distributions. By establishing sufficient conditions for exact mean and correlation recovery across a broader range of divergences, the work provides practical guidelines for selecting variational families and preventing optimization failures. These advances offer a more rigorous foundation for handling model misspecification in complex inference tasks.
Source coveringarXiv

Even More Guarantees for Variational Inference in the Presence of Symmetries

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2604.21407v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: When approximating an intractable density via variational inference (VI) the variational family is typically chosen as a simple parametric family that very likely does not contain the target. This raises the question: Under which conditions can we recover characteristics of the target despite misspecification? In this work, we extend previous theoretical results on robust VI with location-scale families under target symmetries in two substantial ways: (1) We open them up to a wider range of divergences by providing sufficient conditions for exact recovery of the target mean and correlation matrix when using the forward Kullback-Leibler divergence and $\alpha$-divergences. (2) By doing so, we find that we can drop the restrictive assumption of a log-concave target made in previous work, allowing us to give guarantees for a wider range of targets, including multi-modal ones. In our experiments, we show how our guarantees can serve as guidelines for the choice of the variational family and $\alpha$-value and we illustrate on a diverse set of examples how and why optimization can fail in the absence of our sufficient conditions.

Abstract:When approximating an intractable density via variational inference (VI) the variational family is typically chosen as a simple parametric family that very likely does not contain the target. This raises the question: Under which conditions can we recover characteristics of the target despite misspecification? In this work, we extend previous theoretical results on robust VI with location-scale families under target symmetries in two substantial ways: (1) We open them up to a wider range of divergences by providing sufficient conditions for exact recovery of the target mean and correlation matrix when using the forward Kullback-Leibler divergence and $\alpha$-divergences. (2) By doing so, we find that we can drop the restrictive assumption of a log-concave target made in previous work, allowing us to give guarantees for a wider range of targets, including multi-modal ones. In our experiments, we show how our guarantees can serve as guidelines for the choice of the variational family and $\alpha$-value and we illustrate on a diverse set of examples how and why optimization can fail in the absence of our sufficient conditions.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computation (stat.CO); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2604.21407 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2604.21407v2 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.21407 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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