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This research introduces EnJoi, a diffusion-based data assimilation algorithm that integrates uncertainty estimation from past predictions into the reconstruction of dynamical systems like fluid and traffic flows. By learning the joint distribution of past and future states, the method improves accuracy in scenarios with sparse or non-homogeneous observations, offering a significant advancement for physics-informed machine learning applications.
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EnJoi: Ensemble Joint Score Filter for Generative Data Assimilation

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2609.35944v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data Assimilation (DA) aims to recover the full state of a dynamical system that is only partially observed. A solution is to use Score-based models to generate physically consistent trajectories that agree with the observations. These Autoregressive Diffusion models are trained by conditioning on the previous state; however, they do not take into account the uncertainty of their past predictions. We propose a new diffusion-based assimilation algorithm that dynamically balances the confidence in the current state and the new observations. Crucially, we choose to learn the distribution of the joint state containing both the past and future. This allows us to use a modified version of En4DVar, a classical DA algorithm that relies on the covariance of an ensemble of particles. Experiments on fluid and traffic flow simulations show improved reconstruction performance, especially in situations where observations are sparse and non-homogeneous.

Abstract:Data Assimilation (DA) aims to recover the full state of a dynamical system that is only partially observed. A solution is to use Score-based models to generate physically consistent trajectories that agree with the observations. These Autoregressive Diffusion models are trained by conditioning on the previous state; however, they do not take into account the uncertainty of their past predictions. We propose a new diffusion-based assimilation algorithm that dynamically balances the confidence in the current state and the new observations. Crucially, we choose to learn the distribution of the joint state containing both the past and future. This allows us to use a modified version of En4DVar, a classical DA algorithm that relies on the covariance of an ensemble of particles. Experiments on fluid and traffic flow simulations show improved reconstruction performance, especially in situations where observations are sparse and non-homogeneous.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.35944 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.35944v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.35944 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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