aiqbench analysis
This paper introduces DyG-WM, a novel framework designed to predict future states in dynamic graphs by jointly modeling node and relation evolution from temporal context. The approach addresses specific challenges in structural path-dependency and sparse future targets without relying on raw graph reconstruction. Experimental results across multiple link-prediction and node-classification datasets validate its effectiveness in capturing complex temporal dynamics.
Dynamic Graph World Modelling: Learning Future Dynamics from Temporal Context
arXiv:2610.19364v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dynamic graph learning models how entities and their relations evolve from historical observations to predict future graph states. Existing methods do not fully address dynamic graph world modelling, which requires learning transitions from temporal context to future latent graph states. This is difficult for three reasons: nodes and relations rely on different historical evidence, structural evolution is path-dependent, and future snapshots provide sparse and realization-specific targets. We propose Dynamic Graph World Modelling (DyG-WM), the first framework to jointly predict future node and relation representations from temporal context by answering three questions: what has evolved, how it evolved, and what will evolve next. To capture what has evolved, a historical node-relation context encoder summarizes node-neighborhood trajectories and pair-specific histories. To characterize how it evolved, a node-relation path-signature encoder captures ordered structural changes. To predict what will evolve next, a dual-level joint-embedding objective predicts target-snapshot node and relation representations without reconstructing the raw graph. Experiments on 12 link-prediction and two node-classification datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of DyG-WM across both tasks.
Abstract:Dynamic graph learning models how entities and their relations evolve from historical observations to predict future graph states. Existing methods do not fully address dynamic graph world modelling, which requires learning transitions from temporal context to future latent graph states. This is difficult for three reasons: nodes and relations rely on different historical evidence, structural evolution is path-dependent, and future snapshots provide sparse and realization-specific targets. We propose Dynamic Graph World Modelling (DyG-WM), the first framework to jointly predict future node and relation representations from temporal context by answering three questions: what has evolved, how it evolved, and what will evolve next. To capture what has evolved, a historical node-relation context encoder summarizes node-neighborhood trajectories and pair-specific histories. To characterize how it evolved, a node-relation path-signature encoder captures ordered structural changes. To predict what will evolve next, a dual-level joint-embedding objective predicts target-snapshot node and relation representations without reconstructing the raw graph. Experiments on 12 link-prediction and two node-classification datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of DyG-WM across both tasks.
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2610.19364 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2610.19364v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.19364 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.
Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.
Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.
Full text under the publisher's open licence · 262 words

