aiqbench analysis
This study provides a critical empirical assessment of Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) pretraining across nine distinct backbones and eleven forecasting benchmarks. The findings reveal that performance gains are not universal but depend heavily on the specific architecture chosen, with some models showing consistent degradation rather than improvement. For practitioners evaluating self-supervised paradigms for time series, this highlights the necessity of backbone-specific validation before adopting JEPA methods in production pipelines.
Does Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Pretraining Help Time Series Forecasting?
arXiv:2609.31680v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPA) have emerged as a promising self-supervised pretraining paradigm for time series, learning representations by predicting target embeddings in latent space rather than reconstructing raw signals. Yet evidence on their benefits remains mixed, and most studies test only a single backbone or a narrow set of architectures, leaving unclear whether JEPA pretraining is a reliable improvement or one that depends heavily on the downstream model. We address this gap through a large scale evaluation of one JEPA instantiation across nine backbones and eleven benchmarks spanning temporal and spatio-temporal forecasting, the most extensive cross architecture assessment of JEPA for time series to date. We find that the benefit of this instantiation varies sharply across backbones, producing consistent gains for some architectures and consistent degradation for others, even on the same dataset. This pattern holds across both task families, indicating the variability is a general property of this instantiation rather than a dataset specific artifact worth accounting for when choosing a backbone in practice.
Title:Does Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Pretraining Help Time Series Forecasting?
Abstract:Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPA) have emerged as a promising self-supervised pretraining paradigm for time series, learning representations by predicting target embeddings in latent space rather than reconstructing raw signals. Yet evidence on their benefits remains mixed, and most studies test only a single backbone or a narrow set of architectures, leaving unclear whether JEPA pretraining is a reliable improvement or one that depends heavily on the downstream model. We address this gap through a large scale evaluation of one JEPA instantiation across nine backbones and eleven benchmarks spanning temporal and spatio-temporal forecasting, the most extensive cross architecture assessment of JEPA for time series to date. We find that the benefit of this instantiation varies sharply across backbones, producing consistent gains for some architectures and consistent degradation for others, even on the same dataset. This pattern holds across both task families, indicating the variability is a general property of this instantiation rather than a dataset specific artifact worth accounting for when choosing a backbone in practice.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (stat.ML)
arXiv:2609.31680 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2609.31680v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.31680 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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