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This paper is squarely about machine learning theory: it asks whether compression explains generalization in over-parameterized neural networks and proposes prequential regret, a training-trajectory-only signal, as a computable proxy. The theoretical link between MDL and the information bottleneck is the substantive contribution, while the CIFAR-10/100 correlations (above 0.9) are promising but limited in scope and worth verifying across architectures and training setups before drawing broad conclusions.
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Does Compression Imply Generalization? A Minimum Description Length Perspective

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.21376v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A central question in modern learning theory is what notion of compression, if any, explains why over-parameterized neural networks generalize. Existing answers measure complexity at different levels, ranging from weights to representations; however, estimating the associated quantities either requires held-out data in principle or relies on the challenging (ultra) high-dimensional mutual information estimation. To overcome these challenges, we approach the question through the minimum description length (MDL) principle, and specifically, we propose the prequential regret as a complementary signal that is computable from the training trajectory alone. We establish that, in the (nearly) interpolating regime, the expected prequential regret upper-bounds the description length of the trained parameter under the algorithm-induced distribution, and that this description length translates into a high-probability generalization bound in the PAC-MDL setting. Along the way, we show that the encoder-complexity correction recently added to the algorithm-level information bottleneck (IB) is upper-bounded by an MDL parameter description length, \new{bringing together} the two views of compression from MDL and IB. Empirically, the prequential regret tracks the generalization error on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, with Pearson correlations exceeding 0.9.

Title:Does Compression Imply Generalization? A Minimum Description Length Perspective

Abstract:A central question in modern learning theory is what notion of compression, if any, explains why over-parameterized neural networks generalize. Existing answers measure complexity at different levels, ranging from weights to representations; however, estimating the associated quantities either requires held-out data in principle or relies on the challenging (ultra) high-dimensional mutual information estimation. To overcome these challenges, we approach the question through the minimum description length (MDL) principle, and specifically, we propose the prequential regret as a complementary signal that is computable from the training trajectory alone. We establish that, in the (nearly) interpolating regime, the expected prequential regret upper-bounds the description length of the trained parameter under the algorithm-induced distribution, and that this description length translates into a high-probability generalization bound in the PAC-MDL setting. Along the way, we show that the encoder-complexity correction recently added to the algorithm-level information bottleneck (IB) is upper-bounded by an MDL parameter description length, \new{bringing together} the two views of compression from MDL and IB. Empirically, the prequential regret tracks the generalization error on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, with Pearson correlations exceeding 0.9.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.21376 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.21376v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.21376 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 282 words

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