Direct Regret Optimization in Bayesian Optimization

arXiv:2507.06529v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful paradigm for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Traditional BO methods typically rely on separate hand-crafted acquisition functions and surrogate models for the underlying function, and often operate in a myopic manner. In this paper, we propose a novel direct regret optimization approach that jointly learns the optimal model and non-myopic acquisition by distilling from a set of candidate models and acquisitions, and explicitly targets minimizing the multi-step regret. Our framework leverages an ensemble of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with varying hyperparameters to generate simulated BO trajectories, each guided by an acquisition function drawn from a pool of conventional choices and terminated by a Bayesian early stop criterion. These trajectories train an end-to-end Decision Transformer that selects the next query so as to improve the ultimate objective, following a dense training sparse learning paradigm: the transformer is trained on abundant simulated data, while a limited number of real evaluations refine the GPs online. On synthetic and real-world benchmarks, our method attains the best or near-best final simple regret against standard, lookahead, trust-region and amortized BO baselines, with the largest gains in high-dimensional settings. Ablations attribute the gains jointly to region-of-interest filtering and the learned policy, and matched-budget comparisons against explicit two-step lookahead acquisitions show that the advantage is not shared by lookahead alone.

Abstract:Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful paradigm for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Traditional BO methods typically rely on separate hand-crafted acquisition functions and surrogate models for the underlying function, and often operate in a myopic manner. In this paper, we propose a novel direct regret optimization approach that jointly learns the optimal model and non-myopic acquisition by distilling from a set of candidate models and acquisitions, and explicitly targets minimizing the multi-step regret. Our framework leverages an ensemble of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with varying hyperparameters to generate simulated BO trajectories, each guided by an acquisition function drawn from a pool of conventional choices and terminated by a Bayesian early stop criterion. These trajectories train an end-to-end Decision Transformer that selects the next query so as to improve the ultimate objective, following a dense training sparse learning paradigm: the transformer is trained on abundant simulated data, while a limited number of real evaluations refine the GPs online. On synthetic and real-world benchmarks, our method attains the best or near-best final simple regret against standard, lookahead, trust-region and amortized BO baselines, with the largest gains in high-dimensional settings. Ablations attribute the gains jointly to region-of-interest filtering and the learned policy, and matched-budget comparisons against explicit two-step lookahead acquisitions show that the advantage is not shared by lookahead alone.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2507.06529 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2507.06529v2 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2507.06529 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Direct Regret Optimization in Bayesian Optimization

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