Detecting Historical Turning Points in Italian Media: A Complex Systems Approach to a Diachronic News Corpus

Abstract:The increasing availability of large-scale textual corpora has opened new possibilities for data-driven, quantitative approaches to historical analysis using Natural Language Processing (NLP). However, diachronic corpora with historical relevance from the pre-digital era remain scarce and often incomplete. We present a quantitative approach to historical analysis based on the reconstruction and exploration of a diachronic corpus of around 600,000 articles from the Italian newspaper "La Repubblica", covering all the articles published from the 1st of January 1985 to the 31st of December 2000 - a period of major political, social, and geopolitical change in Italy and globally. Using NLP techniques, we analyze the text at both lexical and semantic levels; we then apply tools from complex systems and statistical physics to trace shifts in media discourse over time. This allows us to detect key transition periods, such as the transition from the First Republic to the Second Republic in Italy, or major international conflicts like the Gulf War or the Kosovo War, without relying on prior labeling. The results show how combining computational linguistics with ideas from complex systems can offer new quantitative insight into historical changes, opening up new paths for studying the dynamics of media and society through large-scale textual data.

Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph); Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech); Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2606.14348 [physics.soc-ph]

(or arXiv:2606.14348v1 [physics.soc-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.14348 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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