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This research addresses a critical gap in AI agent evaluation by introducing Calibrated User Embeddings (CUE), which aligns simulated user behaviors with real-world failure patterns rather than just surface-level interaction styles. The framework enables LLMs to act as calibrated simulators without additional training, significantly improving the fidelity of benchmarking results across diverse domains like customer support and math tutoring. By ensuring that simulated outcomes match actual human-agent success rates, this method provides a more ecologically valid foundation for assessing multi-turn AI capabilities.
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CUEing User Simulators: Calibrated User Embeddings for Multi-Turn Benchmarking

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.02460v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent benchmarks rely on user simulators to evaluate AI agents in multi-turn interaction. While existing simulation techniques demonstrate surface fidelity to human style and behavior, ecologically valid interactive benchmarking also requires alignment in when and how agents fail across simulated and real user populations. We find that existing simulators lack outcome calibration: agreement with observed success rates and failure patterns when real users interact with the same agent. We introduce Calibrated User Embeddings (CUE), a framework that both encodes observed sessions and samples continuous representations, then decodes them into persona commands to steer LLMs to act as user simulators without training. Through this, we evaluate user-conditioned replay of past sessions and aggregate metric agreement when sampling novel personas for the same tasks. On $\tau^2$-Bench, CUEd simulators commit fewer simulator-attributed errors and more faithfully reproduce real-user agent failure modes, aggregate success rates, and outcomes for specific task-user pairs than other persona-based simulation methods. These gains coexist with competitive user fidelity as measured using metrics established in prior work. After being fit to mostly customer support interactions, the same CUEd simulators generalize to document creation, math tutoring, and casual conversation, and remain effective across different simulator LLMs without CUE retraining.

Abstract:Recent benchmarks rely on user simulators to evaluate AI agents in multi-turn interaction. While existing simulation techniques demonstrate surface fidelity to human style and behavior, ecologically valid interactive benchmarking also requires alignment in when and how agents fail across simulated and real user populations. We find that existing simulators lack outcome calibration: agreement with observed success rates and failure patterns when real users interact with the same agent. We introduce Calibrated User Embeddings (CUE), a framework that both encodes observed sessions and samples continuous representations, then decodes them into persona commands to steer LLMs to act as user simulators without training. Through this, we evaluate user-conditioned replay of past sessions and aggregate metric agreement when sampling novel personas for the same tasks. On $\tau^2$-Bench, CUEd simulators commit fewer simulator-attributed errors and more faithfully reproduce real-user agent failure modes, aggregate success rates, and outcomes for specific task-user pairs than other persona-based simulation methods. These gains coexist with competitive user fidelity as measured using metrics established in prior work. After being fit to mostly customer support interactions, the same CUEd simulators generalize to document creation, math tutoring, and casual conversation, and remain effective across different simulator LLMs without CUE retraining.

Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2610.02460 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2610.02460v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02460 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 293 words

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