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This paper introduces "Coupled Scaling," a theoretical framework that explains why neural scaling laws vary based on the interplay between task structure, architectural support, and optimization methods. By separating architectural constraints from finite-budget acquisition, it offers new mathematical tools to predict training exponents without relying solely on empirical loss fits. This work advances fundamental understanding of how model geometry influences scalability across different tasks.
Coupled Scaling: A Representational Accessibility Framework for Neural Scaling Laws
arXiv:2609.03533v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Existing theories derive neural scaling from data geometry or a specified data-model spectrum, but systems trained on the same data can scale differently when architecture or optimization changes the representations they can efficiently reach. We introduce Coupled Scaling, a task-conditioned framework in which finite-budget scaling depends on the relation between task structure and the geometry accessible to an architecture-optimization system. In a solvable mode-truncation model, loss separates into target energy outside architectural support and an unresolved supported tail. For an arbitrary priority order, the residual lies between the best-N supported tail and the tail beyond the largest completed high-value prefix. If the cumulative-tail and coverage log-rates are $\gamma_{A,T}$ and $\rho_{A,O,T}$, the residual exponent lies in $[\rho_{A,O,T}\gamma_{A,T},\gamma_{A,T}]$. Under bounded off-prefix gain, the completed prefix is rate-determining and $\alpha_{A,O,T}=\rho_{A,O,T}\gamma_{A,T}$; for $a_{A,T,j}\asymp j^{-b_{A,T}}$, this gives $\alpha_{A,O,T}=\rho_{A,O,T}(b_{A,T}-1)$. A fixed-kernel specialization derives the training-time exponent from the near-zero tail of a task-weighted spectral measure defined independently of the loss fit. The framework separates architectural support from finite-budget acquisition and motivates two tests: static task-relevant geometry should track loss at a common budget, while multiscale geometry should track coupling-specific exponent ordering, including reversal across contrasting tasks. An audit of released emergence trajectories identifies the controls needed for a direct factorial test that measures geometry separately from the scaling fit.
Abstract:Existing theories derive neural scaling from data geometry or a specified data-model spectrum, but systems trained on the same data can scale differently when architecture or optimization changes the representations they can efficiently reach. We introduce Coupled Scaling, a task-conditioned framework in which finite-budget scaling depends on the relation between task structure and the geometry accessible to an architecture-optimization system. In a solvable mode-truncation model, loss separates into target energy outside architectural support and an unresolved supported tail. For an arbitrary priority order, the residual lies between the best-N supported tail and the tail beyond the largest completed high-value prefix. If the cumulative-tail and coverage log-rates are $\gamma_{A,T}$ and $\rho_{A,O,T}$, the residual exponent lies in $[\rho_{A,O,T}\gamma_{A,T},\gamma_{A,T}]$. Under bounded off-prefix gain, the completed prefix is rate-determining and $\alpha_{A,O,T}=\rho_{A,O,T}\gamma_{A,T}$; for $a_{A,T,j}\asymp j^{-b_{A,T}}$, this gives $\alpha_{A,O,T}=\rho_{A,O,T}(b_{A,T}-1)$. A fixed-kernel specialization derives the training-time exponent from the near-zero tail of a task-weighted spectral measure defined independently of the loss fit. The framework separates architectural support from finite-budget acquisition and motivates two tests: static task-relevant geometry should track loss at a common budget, while multiscale geometry should track coupling-specific exponent ordering, including reversal across contrasting tasks. An audit of released emergence trajectories identifies the controls needed for a direct factorial test that measures geometry separately from the scaling fit.
35 pages, 2 figures. Code and reproducibility artifacts: this https URL
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2609.03533 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2609.03533v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.03533 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 318 words
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