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CountTRuCoLa introduces a symbolic rule-based framework for temporal knowledge graph forecasting, offering interpretable predictions traceable to specific logical rules rather than opaque neural weights. The method competes with state-of-the-art black-box models while maintaining stability on large-scale datasets where other approaches suffer from memory or runtime failures. This advancement highlights the potential of combining formal logic with machine learning to solve complex prediction tasks in dynamic knowledge graphs.
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CountTRuCoLa: Rule Learning for Interpretable Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting

arXiv1 min read

arXiv:2509.09474v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the task of temporal knowledge graph forecasting with an inherently interpretable method based on symbolic rules. Motivated by recent work proposing a strong baseline based on recurrent facts, our approach learns four simple rule types, including temporal rules with confidence functions that combine both recency and frequency. Evaluated on nine datasets, our method achieves performance that is competitive with state-of-the-art models and outperforms the majority of them, while each prediction remains directly traceable to the rules and observations that produced it. Moreover, our approach remains functional on very large datasets, where other methods encounter runtime or memory failures.

Abstract:We address the task of temporal knowledge graph forecasting with an inherently interpretable method based on symbolic rules. Motivated by recent work proposing a strong baseline based on recurrent facts, our approach learns four simple rule types, including temporal rules with confidence functions that combine both recency and frequency. Evaluated on nine datasets, our method achieves performance that is competitive with state-of-the-art models and outperforms the majority of them, while each prediction remains directly traceable to the rules and observations that produced it. Moreover, our approach remains functional on very large datasets, where other methods encounter runtime or memory failures.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2509.09474 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2509.09474v2 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2509.09474 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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