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This research introduces Coactive learning, a framework that integrates cost-sensitive Bayesian hypothesis discrimination with Gaussian-process optimization for autonomous laboratories. By explicitly modeling heterogeneous experimental costs and discrete pathway identification stages, the method efficiently allocates limited budgets to avoid costly errors in materials discovery campaigns like CICERO's selective-precipitation studies. The approach demonstrates robust performance on synthetic benchmarks inspired by real-world NdFeB material synthesis scenarios without relying on oracle labels for correct pathways.
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Cost-Aware Recovery-Pathway Identification and Bayesian Optimization for Autonomous Materials Discovery

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2607.23896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Autonomous laboratories automate experimental execution, but a campaign must also decide which recovery pathway merits optimization. We formulate this as a sequential decision problem with a discrete pathway-identification stage and a continuous within-pathway optimization stage under heterogeneous experimental costs. Our implementation, Coactive learning, combines a cost-sensitive Bayesian hypothesis-discrimination policy motivated by EC2 (Golovin et al., 2010) with Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization (Srinivas et al., 2010). Under explicitly stated assumptions, the expected spend of one fixed-budget campaign attempt is bounded by the expected pathway-identification cost plus the capped within-pathway optimization budget. We evaluate the method on synthetic benchmarks constrained by selected results reported for PNNL's CICERO selective-precipitation study (Ritchhart et al., 2026). The method performs comparably to an oracle-pathway Bayesian-optimization reference and to a strong split-plate baseline that discriminates pathways with its first plate, without receiving an oracle label for the correct pathway. It is given a candidate hypothesis space and a diagnostic likelihood model. On an NdFeB-inspired instance, it avoids the simulated penalty of a commit-first baseline that initially selects a plausible but inferior hydroxide pathway. This hypothetical wrong-first-commitment scenario is motivated by the hydroxide-oxalate performance contrast reported by CICERO. We characterize the sensitivity of these conclusions to the assumed cost model. The code and benchmark are open source.

Abstract:Autonomous laboratories automate experimental execution, but a campaign must also decide which recovery pathway merits optimization. We formulate this as a sequential decision problem with a discrete pathway-identification stage and a continuous within-pathway optimization stage under heterogeneous experimental costs. Our implementation, Coactive learning, combines a cost-sensitive Bayesian hypothesis-discrimination policy motivated by EC2 (Golovin et al., 2010) with Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization (Srinivas et al., 2010). Under explicitly stated assumptions, the expected spend of one fixed-budget campaign attempt is bounded by the expected pathway-identification cost plus the capped within-pathway optimization budget. We evaluate the method on synthetic benchmarks constrained by selected results reported for PNNL's CICERO selective-precipitation study (Ritchhart et al., 2026). The method performs comparably to an oracle-pathway Bayesian-optimization reference and to a strong split-plate baseline that discriminates pathways with its first plate, without receiving an oracle label for the correct pathway. It is given a candidate hypothesis space and a diagnostic likelihood model. On an NdFeB-inspired instance, it avoids the simulated penalty of a commit-first baseline that initially selects a plausible but inferior hydroxide pathway. This hypothetical wrong-first-commitment scenario is motivated by the hydroxide-oxalate performance contrast reported by CICERO. We characterize the sensitivity of these conclusions to the assumed cost model. The code and benchmark are open source.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Robotics (cs.RO)

arXiv:2607.23896 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2607.23896v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.23896 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 304 words

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