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This paper advances the theoretical foundations of safety verification for Markov decision processes by introducing a unified framework for query selection based on convex analysis and support functions. By comparing different error units, such as Euclidean distance versus unit cubes, the work provides rigorous mathematical tools to optimize how failure probabilities are bounded in stochastic systems. These contributions directly impact the reliability guarantees of autonomous agents and control systems where probabilistic safety is critical.
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Convex-Analytic View of Query Selection for Safety Verification of Markov Decision Processes

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.17541v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Safety verification of a Markov decision process (MDP) asks whether the probabilities of reaching several failure states jointly lie in a convex safe region under every scheduler. Watanabe and Unno (2026) prove safety by refining an outer approximation of the failure probabilities, where each query bounds a nonnegative weighted sum of the probabilities. Their rule selects weights by the largest Euclidean violation. We present a unified framework to measure violation in an explicitly chosen error unit: directions are scored by the support-function gap between the outer approximation and the safe region, normalized by the support function of the unit. We show that the maximal score, when positive, equals the smallest enlargement of the safe region in multiples of that unit that contains the outer approximation. The Euclidean unit recovers the earlier rule; two new rules are generated by the unit cube and the safe region itself. We experimentally evaluate how the choice of measurement rule affects the performance of safety verification for MDPs.

Abstract:Safety verification of a Markov decision process (MDP) asks whether the probabilities of reaching several failure states jointly lie in a convex safe region under every scheduler. Watanabe and Unno (2026) prove safety by refining an outer approximation of the failure probabilities, where each query bounds a nonnegative weighted sum of the probabilities. Their rule selects weights by the largest Euclidean violation. We present a unified framework to measure violation in an explicitly chosen error unit: directions are scored by the support-function gap between the outer approximation and the safe region, normalized by the support function of the unit. We show that the maximal score, when positive, equals the smallest enlargement of the safe region in multiples of that unit that contains the outer approximation. The Euclidean unit recovers the earlier rule; two new rules are generated by the unit cube and the safe region itself. We experimentally evaluate how the choice of measurement rule affects the performance of safety verification for MDPs.

Optimization and Control (math.OC); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Logic in Computer Science (cs.LO)

arXiv:2610.17541 [math.OC]

(or arXiv:2610.17541v1 [math.OC] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.17541 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 266 words

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