aiqbench analysis
This study disentangles three distinct signals in synthetic data usage—diagnosticity, teachability, and downstream transfer—revealing that loss reduction does not always correlate with improved model performance on specific benchmarks. The research demonstrates that curated synthetic datasets possess conditional value, performing best when mixed with target-aligned sources rather than used in isolation or driven solely by adaptive schedulers focused on immediate loss minimization. These findings offer critical guidance for optimizing pretraining strategies to maximize actual capability gains rather than just training efficiency metrics.
Conditional Transfer from Controlled Pretraining Mixtures to Code
arXiv:2610.11548v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthetic tasks are increasingly used both as probes of language-model capability and as pretraining data. Both uses are often justified by loss reduction: falling loss is treated as informative, and faster loss reduction with more sampling as evidence that a task is worth sampling. We separate three signals. A task is diagnostic when its loss tracks global pretraining progress; it is teachable when its loss responds to its own token budget; and a data source transfers when including it improves a downstream target. We study controlled pretraining in which 70% of the corpus is fixed general Python and the remaining 30% is a simplex over three source families: OpenCodeInstruct, a curated suite of 12 code-adjacent synthetic tasks, and 15 literature-derived probe tasks. Across a task-budget sweep we detect teachability for 14 of 27 tasks, with a sharp asymmetry between the two synthetic families (10/12 curated versus 4/15 literature-derived). Teachability and downstream transfer give different rankings. On the mixture-simplex edge between the curated suite and OpenCodeInstruct, HumanEval pass@20 after a fixed fine-tuning stage rises from 15.9 at pure curated data to its highest observed value, 22.6, at a mixture that is 75% OpenCodeInstruct, then falls to 19.5 at pure OpenCodeInstruct. Curated synthetic data therefore has conditional value: it contributes as a limited share of a mixture that a target-aligned source still dominates. Finally, a loss-based adaptive scheduler exposes the mismatch between residual loss reducibility and downstream transfer. Across three 60k-step free-ratio runs, Ado drives the OpenCodeInstruct share below 5% within the first 5k steps and to 1.2--1.4% by the end of training, and underperforms its matched fixed-mixture controls by 2.4--11.0 percentage points. Optimizing near-term task-loss reduction moves the mixture away from the region that transfers.
Abstract:Synthetic tasks are increasingly used both as probes of language-model capability and as pretraining data. Both uses are often justified by loss reduction: falling loss is treated as informative, and faster loss reduction with more sampling as evidence that a task is worth sampling. We separate three signals. A task is diagnostic when its loss tracks global pretraining progress; it is teachable when its loss responds to its own token budget; and a data source transfers when including it improves a downstream target. We study controlled pretraining in which 70% of the corpus is fixed general Python and the remaining 30% is a simplex over three source families: OpenCodeInstruct, a curated suite of 12 code-adjacent synthetic tasks, and 15 literature-derived probe tasks. Across a task-budget sweep we detect teachability for 14 of 27 tasks, with a sharp asymmetry between the two synthetic families (10/12 curated versus 4/15 literature-derived). Teachability and downstream transfer give different rankings. On the mixture-simplex edge between the curated suite and OpenCodeInstruct, HumanEval pass@20 after a fixed fine-tuning stage rises from 15.9 at pure curated data to its highest observed value, 22.6, at a mixture that is 75% OpenCodeInstruct, then falls to 19.5 at pure OpenCodeInstruct. Curated synthetic data therefore has conditional value: it contributes as a limited share of a mixture that a target-aligned source still dominates. Finally, a loss-based adaptive scheduler exposes the mismatch between residual loss reducibility and downstream transfer. Across three 60k-step free-ratio runs, Ado drives the OpenCodeInstruct share below 5% within the first 5k steps and to 1.2--1.4% by the end of training, and underperforms its matched fixed-mixture controls by 2.4--11.0 percentage points. Optimizing near-term task-loss reduction moves the mixture away from the region that transfers.
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2610.11548 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2610.11548v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.11548 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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