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This research demonstrates that released tokenizer vocabularies contain stable statistical signals enabling precise, token-level reconstruction of hidden pretraining corpora. By leveraging quantile-guided density estimation, the study achieves sub-4% error rates in estimating corpus mixtures, offering a novel method for auditing model provenance without access to weights. This advancement strengthens the ability to infer training data composition from public artifacts, addressing critical transparency issues in large language model development.
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Can Released LLM Vocabularies Support Token-Level Estimation of Hidden Corpora?

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.10690v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Pretraining corpus composition shapes LLM capabilities, but it often remains hidden even when model weights are released. Prior work has inferred corpus mixtures or traced specific token groups from released tokenizer vocabularies; in contrast, we estimate corpus ratios for arbitrary target tokens. We first show that BPE tokenizers trained on different corpora share stable token ID--ratio distributions, motivating distribution transfer from known corpora to a target tokenizer trained on hidden corpora. We then propose Quantile-Guided Density Estimation (QGDE), which approximates this distribution with multiple quantile trends and uses local density weighting to produce token-level estimates. In controlled settings and a realistic setting using the released SmolLM tokenizer, QGDE achieves mean relative errors as low as 3.00% for token-level estimation and 3.08% after aggregation into category-level mixtures. These results suggest that released tokenizer vocabularies provide a useful signal for fine-grained corpus estimation beyond coarse composition inference.

Title:Can Released LLM Vocabularies Support Token-Level Estimation of Hidden Corpora?

Abstract:Pretraining corpus composition shapes LLM capabilities, but it often remains hidden even when model weights are released. Prior work has inferred corpus mixtures or traced specific token groups from released tokenizer vocabularies; in contrast, we estimate corpus ratios for arbitrary target tokens. We first show that BPE tokenizers trained on different corpora share stable token ID--ratio distributions, motivating distribution transfer from known corpora to a target tokenizer trained on hidden corpora. We then propose Quantile-Guided Density Estimation (QGDE), which approximates this distribution with multiple quantile trends and uses local density weighting to produce token-level estimates. In controlled settings and a realistic setting using the released SmolLM tokenizer, QGDE achieves mean relative errors as low as 3.00% for token-level estimation and 3.08% after aggregation into category-level mixtures. These results suggest that released tokenizer vocabularies provide a useful signal for fine-grained corpus estimation beyond coarse composition inference.

Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2608.10690 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2608.10690v2 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.10690 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 248 words

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