aiqbench analysis
This research challenges the assumption that Chain-of-Thought (CoT) outputs serve as transparent windows into a model's decision-making process, revealing instead that critical computation often occurs in latent pathways independent of generated text. By introducing the CoT Mediation Index, the study provides a causal audit method to distinguish between superficial reasoning displays and genuine internal logic across various model architectures. These findings are essential for developers relying on CoT as a safety or interpretability mechanism, highlighting the need for rigorous layerwise verification before deploying models in high-stakes environments.
Bypassing the Rationale: Causal Auditing of Implicit Reasoning in Language Models
arXiv:2602.03994v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting is widely used as a reasoning aid and is often treated as a transparency mechanism. Yet behavioral gains under CoT do not imply that the model's internal computation causally depends on the emitted reasoning text, i.e. models may produce fluent rationales while routing decision-critical computation through latent pathways. We introduce a causal, layerwise audit of CoT faithfulness based on activation patching. Our key metric, the CoT Mediation Index (CMI), isolates CoT-specific causal influence by comparing performance degradation from patching CoT-token hidden states against matched control patches. Across multiple model families (Phi, Qwen, DialoGPT) and scales, we find that CoT-specific influence is typically depth-localized into narrow ''reasoning windows,'' and we identify bypass regimes where CMI is near-zero despite plausible CoT text. We further observe that models tuned explicitly for reasoning tend to exhibit stronger and more structured mediation than larger untuned counterparts, while Mixture-of-Experts models show more distributed mediation consistent with routing-based computation. Overall, our results show that CoT faithfulness varies substantially across models and tasks and cannot be inferred from behavior alone, motivating causal, layerwise audits when using CoT as a transparency signal.
Abstract:Chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting is widely used as a reasoning aid and is often treated as a transparency mechanism. Yet behavioral gains under CoT do not imply that the model's internal computation causally depends on the emitted reasoning text, i.e. models may produce fluent rationales while routing decision-critical computation through latent pathways. We introduce a causal, layerwise audit of CoT faithfulness based on activation patching. Our key metric, the CoT Mediation Index (CMI), isolates CoT-specific causal influence by comparing performance degradation from patching CoT-token hidden states against matched control patches. Across multiple model families (Phi, Qwen, DialoGPT) and scales, we find that CoT-specific influence is typically depth-localized into narrow ''reasoning windows,'' and we identify bypass regimes where CMI is near-zero despite plausible CoT text. We further observe that models tuned explicitly for reasoning tend to exhibit stronger and more structured mediation than larger untuned counterparts, while Mixture-of-Experts models show more distributed mediation consistent with routing-based computation. Overall, our results show that CoT faithfulness varies substantially across models and tasks and cannot be inferred from behavior alone, motivating causal, layerwise audits when using CoT as a transparency signal.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2602.03994 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2602.03994v3 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2602.03994 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 281 words
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