Black-Box Membership Inference via Word-Level Probability Estimation

Abstract:Membership inference attacks (MIAs) have emerged as critical tools for auditing privacy risks in large language models (LLMs), aiming to determine whether a given text was included in a model's training corpus. However, most existing MIAs require access to per-token logits or probabilities, making them inapplicable in practice to proprietary LLMs that expose only textual continuations. To address this underexplored setting, we propose Word-level Probability MIA (WPMIA), a statistically principled MIA for strict black-box privacy auditing. WPMIA estimates word-level generation probabilities via Monte Carlo sampling with local kernel smoothing, then aggregates these estimates into a sequence-level likelihood estimator. Furthermore, WPMIA constructs the likelihood conditioned on different prefixes, thereby amplifying the distributional differences between members and non-members. We evaluate WPMIA across various open-source LLMs and find that it consistently outperforms existing black-box baselines. Importantly, we also evaluate WPMIA on modern proprietary LLMs, including GPT-5-Chat, Gemini-2.5-Flash, and Claude-4.5-Haiku, achieving an average TPR@5\%FPR of 42.0 across these models. These results offer a sound foundation for future research on strict black-box membership inference. Code is available at \href{this https URL}{this https URL}.

Cryptography and Security (cs.CR); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2609.10611 [cs.CR]

(or arXiv:2609.10611v1 [cs.CR] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.10611 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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