Beyond Thresholds: A Quality-Aware Decision Intelligence Framework for Cold Chain IoT Systems

Abstract:Cold chain logistics has advanced technologically, yet most deployed systems remain reactive monitors, not decision-making agents: thresholds trigger alerts, but nothing relates violations to cumulative product degradation or converts degradation signals into logistics decisions. We address this gap with a Quality-Aware Decision Intelligence (QADI) framework combining three capabilities: a structured quality state representation, $S_q = [L, Q, U, R]$ -- remaining shelf life, degradation rate, estimation uncertainty, and operational risk, all derived and computable from the framework equations; a hybrid quality modeling layer combining physics-based microbial kinetics with a data-driven correction term; and a reasoning layer built on Microsoft Phi-4~\cite{Phi4} with retrieval-augmented generation over a structured domain knowledge base. We benchmark against five baselines -- threshold monitoring, physics-only, physics-plus-noise, optimisation-based decisions, and a rule-based expert system -- across eight cold chain scenarios, using pasteurised milk as the primary case, with ground truth shelf-life drawn from published dairy studies~\cite{Singh1994, Smigic2015} independent of our model. Comparisons use Wilcoxon signed-rank tests with Holm correction. Across milk and broccoli scenarios, the framework attains mean absolute shelf-life error of 7.2 hours (versus 30.9 hours, physics-only; $p<0.001$), spoilage rate of 14.5% (versus 16.6%, physics-only and rule-based; p=0.08), and oracle-optimal decisions in 99.5% of scenarios. Removing the LLM reasoning component drops optimality to 45.5% ($p<0.001$). Expert-rated explanation quality reaches 83% ($\kappa = 0.71$). Ablations show hybrid modeling and LLM reasoning contribute distinct gains, while RAG retrieval mainly drives explanation quality. Code: this https URL.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2608.15082 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2608.15082v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.15082 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.

Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.

Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.