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This paper advances online learning theory by analyzing binary prediction with paid stochastic features, specifically addressing how acquisition costs interact with noisy observations in logistic models. It demonstrates that covariance information is insufficient for optimizing loss in non-linear settings and establishes tight regret bounds for scenarios where noise structure is known or unknown. These theoretical insights are relevant for researchers developing cost-aware machine learning systems in high-stakes domains like medical diagnostics.
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Beyond Second-Order Information: Paid Logistic Regression with Noisy Features

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.12919v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider online binary prediction with paid stochastic features, where the learner can spend resources to obtain better observations of the underlying features. This setting is motivated by applications such as medical testing, where additional cost can provide more precise measurements of patient's features for predicting a binary outcome. At each round, a latent feature is drawn i.i.d., the response is generated through a logistic model, and the learner chooses how much to pay before observing a noisy version of the feature. The goal of learner is to jointly control prediction loss and acquisition cost. In contrast to the former result on the online linear regression with paid features, covariance information alone is no longer sufficient: two noise distributions with the same covariance may induce different optimal logistic losses, and lower variance can even lead to higher loss. Under a structural ordering in which larger payments yield better observations by removing independent noise, we obtain $\widetilde O(\sqrt{T})$ regret when the noise structure is known and $\widetilde O(T^{2/3})$ regret when it is unknown, with matching lower bounds up to logarithmic factors.

Abstract:We consider online binary prediction with paid stochastic features, where the learner can spend resources to obtain better observations of the underlying features. This setting is motivated by applications such as medical testing, where additional cost can provide more precise measurements of patient's features for predicting a binary outcome. At each round, a latent feature is drawn i.i.d., the response is generated through a logistic model, and the learner chooses how much to pay before observing a noisy version of the feature. The goal of learner is to jointly control prediction loss and acquisition cost. In contrast to the former result on the online linear regression with paid features, covariance information alone is no longer sufficient: two noise distributions with the same covariance may induce different optimal logistic losses, and lower variance can even lead to higher loss. Under a structural ordering in which larger payments yield better observations by removing independent noise, we obtain $\widetilde O(\sqrt{T})$ regret when the noise structure is known and $\widetilde O(T^{2/3})$ regret when it is unknown, with matching lower bounds up to logarithmic factors.

Machine Learning (stat.ML); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.12919 [stat.ML]

(or arXiv:2610.12919v1 [stat.ML] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.12919 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 277 words

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