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This study establishes a critical benchmark for machine learning models predicting cognitive familiarity via EEG, demonstrating how improper validation methods can artificially inflate performance metrics by nearly 40 percentage points. By identifying specific neural biomarkers like frontal Gamma and Beta oscillations as key drivers of accuracy, the research provides essential guidance for developing reliable adaptive educational technologies grounded in rigorous trial-independent evaluation.
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Automating Learner Assessment: Benchmarking Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for EEG-Based Familiarity Prediction

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2608.16541v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Objective assessment of learning remains a fundamental challenge in education. Electroencephalography (EEG) provides a direct, non-invasive window into the neural correlates of knowledge acquisition, including cognitive familiarity. This study benchmarks fifteen machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for EEG-based familiarity prediction across two cognitive domains: faces (factual knowledge) and mathematical equations (conceptual knowledge). Using continuous EEG data from 23 participants, we extract spectral features (Power Spectral Density) across six frequency bands. We show that while standard stratified cross-validation yields artificially high classification performance (up to 0.9853 F1-score using CNN) due to temporal leakage across neighboring epochs, a rigorous trial-independent validation (Group K-Fold) drops the peak performance to 0.6038 F1-score (using CNN), which is still statistically significant above the 25% chance level. This highlights the critical necessity of trial-independent evaluation to avoid overestimating model generalizability. Furthermore, feature importance and SHAP analysis reveal that temporal and frontal Gamma and Beta oscillations are the most critical biomarkers for familiarity. This work establishes a realistic benchmark for EEG-based cognitive monitoring in educational technologies.

Abstract:Objective assessment of learning remains a fundamental challenge in education. Electroencephalography (EEG) provides a direct, non-invasive window into the neural correlates of knowledge acquisition, including cognitive familiarity. This study benchmarks fifteen machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for EEG-based familiarity prediction across two cognitive domains: faces (factual knowledge) and mathematical equations (conceptual knowledge). Using continuous EEG data from 23 participants, we extract spectral features (Power Spectral Density) across six frequency bands. We show that while standard stratified cross-validation yields artificially high classification performance (up to 0.9853 F1-score using CNN) due to temporal leakage across neighboring epochs, a rigorous trial-independent validation (Group K-Fold) drops the peak performance to 0.6038 F1-score (using CNN), which is still statistically significant above the 25% chance level. This highlights the critical necessity of trial-independent evaluation to avoid overestimating model generalizability. Furthermore, feature importance and SHAP analysis reveal that temporal and frontal Gamma and Beta oscillations are the most critical biomarkers for familiarity. This work establishes a realistic benchmark for EEG-based cognitive monitoring in educational technologies.

Signal Processing (eess.SP); Human-Computer Interaction (cs.HC); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2608.16541 [eess.SP]

(or arXiv:2608.16541v1 [eess.SP] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.16541 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 271 words

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