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This arXiv preprint evaluates an AI model's decision behavior across cognitive-reflection tasks, classic bias paradigms, and a pricing test for demographic bias. Its main point is that strong results on familiar benchmarks and selected answers can hide sensitivity to irrelevant numbers, option order, and inconsistent probability reasoning (a 54% violation rate on conjunction tasks). For readers building or deploying decision systems, the takeaway is that answer-level accuracy alone is not enough, and evaluations should check internal consistency and robustness to formatting changes.
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Are AI Decision Models Biased? A Case Study of Jev

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.19619v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Do AI models designed for fast, structured decisions exhibit the cognitive and social biases observed in human judgment? We evaluate Jev, a model described as a System One decision-maker, using 41,500 responses across cognitive reflection tasks, five classical cognitive-bias paradigms, and a pricing experiment testing ethnic and gender bias. At the level of selected answers, the results are largely encouraging. We confirm previous findings that Jev performs extremely well on cognitive reflection problems. We also observe that it generally avoids the characteristic choice patterns associated with several well-documented human biases, and exhibits only small differences among demographic groups in the tested pricing scenario. However, this apparent robustness conceals important vulnerabilities. Its judgments are sensitive to irrelevant numerical information and the ordering of response options. Moreover, several cognitive-bias manipulations substantially affect returned probabilities even when selected answers remain unchanged. Most strikingly, Jev answers a well-known probability problem correctly in every response but violates the same underlying probability rule in every response to an adapted version. We investigate this discrepancy using 15,000 additional responses across 30 conjunction tasks. Jev violates the rule in 54\% of responses, with accuracy varying dramatically across formulations and answer orders. These findings suggest that evaluating decision models solely on familiar benchmarks and selected answers may substantially overstate their reliability in practical applications. They also identify vulnerabilities for developers to address and practical considerations for users integrating such models into automated decision-making systems.

Title:Are AI Decision Models Biased? A Case Study of Jev

Abstract:Do AI models designed for fast, structured decisions exhibit the cognitive and social biases observed in human judgment? We evaluate Jev, a model described as a System One decision-maker, using 41,500 responses across cognitive reflection tasks, five classical cognitive-bias paradigms, and a pricing experiment testing ethnic and gender bias. At the level of selected answers, the results are largely encouraging. We confirm previous findings that Jev performs extremely well on cognitive reflection problems. We also observe that it generally avoids the characteristic choice patterns associated with several well-documented human biases, and exhibits only small differences among demographic groups in the tested pricing scenario. However, this apparent robustness conceals important vulnerabilities. Its judgments are sensitive to irrelevant numerical information and the ordering of response options. Moreover, several cognitive-bias manipulations substantially affect returned probabilities even when selected answers remain unchanged. Most strikingly, Jev answers a well-known probability problem correctly in every response but violates the same underlying probability rule in every response to an adapted version. We investigate this discrepancy using 15,000 additional responses across 30 conjunction tasks. Jev violates the rule in 54\% of responses, with accuracy varying dramatically across formulations and answer orders. These findings suggest that evaluating decision models solely on familiar benchmarks and selected answers may substantially overstate their reliability in practical applications. They also identify vulnerabilities for developers to address and practical considerations for users integrating such models into automated decision-making systems.

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.19619 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2610.19619v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.19619 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 339 words

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