aiqbench analysis
APIC addresses the scalability limitations of traditional Kennedy-O'Hagan calibration by leveraging Neural Processes to perform amortized Bayesian inference across system families. This approach disentangles instance-specific parameters from shared structural discrepancies, enabling rapid calibration of unseen realizations from sparse data while maintaining uncertainty quantification. The method demonstrates improved parameter recovery and robust identification of systemic errors in complex physical systems like PDEs and ecological models.
APIC: Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration using Neural Processes
arXiv:2606.03355v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Physics models are inherently imperfect due to misspecified or missing mechanisms, resulting in systematic discrepancies between model predictions and real-world observations. The Kennedy-O'Hagan (KOH) framework addresses this issue through explicit discrepancy modeling. However, its non-amortized, per-instance formulation limits scalability across families of related systems. We introduce Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration (APIC), a population-level extension of KOH that leverages Neural Processes to perform scalable Bayesian inference across realizations. Our framework employs a two-branch latent architecture to disentangle instance-specific physical parameters from shared, state-dependent structural discrepancies. By integrating differentiable physics into an amortized inference backbone, APIC enables rapid calibration of unseen realizations from sparse observations while quantifying uncertainty. Experiments on the damped spring oscillator, the Lotka-Volterra system, and the advection-diffusion PDE with misspecified physics demonstrate improved parameter recovery and consistent identification of the systemic discrepancy structure compared to other calibration approaches.
Abstract:Physics models are inherently imperfect due to misspecified or missing mechanisms, resulting in systematic discrepancies between model predictions and real-world observations. The Kennedy-O'Hagan (KOH) framework addresses this issue through explicit discrepancy modeling. However, its non-amortized, per-instance formulation limits scalability across families of related systems. We introduce Amortized Physics-Informed Calibration (APIC), a population-level extension of KOH that leverages Neural Processes to perform scalable Bayesian inference across realizations. Our framework employs a two-branch latent architecture to disentangle instance-specific physical parameters from shared, state-dependent structural discrepancies. By integrating differentiable physics into an amortized inference backbone, APIC enables rapid calibration of unseen realizations from sparse observations while quantifying uncertainty. Experiments on the damped spring oscillator, the Lotka-Volterra system, and the advection-diffusion PDE with misspecified physics demonstrate improved parameter recovery and consistent identification of the systemic discrepancy structure compared to other calibration approaches.
Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2606.03355 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2606.03355v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.03355 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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