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This paper proposes a hybrid symbolic-plus-statistical approach to trajectory prediction: answer set programming models interactive motion, a semantic layer generates branching future trajectories, and an energy-based model ranks them. Its main claim is explainability, since each predicted trajectory comes with an inspectable event-level hypothesis, which end-to-end stochastic predictors don't offer. Readers should weigh that against the evidence: the abstract reports an evaluation on Argoverse 2 but no quantitative results, so accuracy and computational cost relative to neural baselines remain open questions.
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Anticipatory Commonsense with Moving Objects: An ASP-Based Framework for Predictive Reasoning with Interacting Trajectories

arXiv2 min read

arXiv:2610.20867v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a general declarative framework for anticipatory reasoning about interactive motion in complex dynamic environments. Our focus is on (explainable) anticipatory space-time mental model formation at a semantic level to heuristically guide low-level motion computation. Our method is hybrid, modular and elaboration tolerant integrating: 1) An ASP model characterising the dynamics of interactive motion trajectories; 2) Semantically-guided prediction for deriving `branching trajectory futures'; and 3) An energy-based {optimisation} model to evaluate, rank and filter anticipations. We evaluate with the Argoverse 2 benchmark, where each anticipated trajectory carries an explicit, inspectable event-level hypothesis, unlike end-to-end stochastic prediction.

Abstract:We present a general declarative framework for anticipatory reasoning about interactive motion in complex dynamic environments. Our focus is on (explainable) anticipatory space-time mental model formation at a semantic level to heuristically guide low-level motion computation. Our method is hybrid, modular and elaboration tolerant integrating: 1) An ASP model characterising the dynamics of interactive motion trajectories; 2) Semantically-guided prediction for deriving `branching trajectory futures'; and 3) An energy-based {optimisation} model to evaluate, rank and filter anticipations. We evaluate with the Argoverse 2 benchmark, where each anticipated trajectory carries an explicit, inspectable event-level hypothesis, unlike end-to-end stochastic prediction.

Accepted at ACS 2026 / Advances in Cognitive Systems 2026. (to appear)

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Logic in Computer Science (cs.LO)

arXiv:2610.20867 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2610.20867v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.20867 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 208 words

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