aiqbench analysis
AnchorMoE introduces a novel interpretable-by-construction framework for multivariate time series classification that decomposes predictions into exact additive segments rather than relying on post-hoc explanations. By enforcing geometric orthogonality constraints and an uncertainty-aware reliability gate, the model effectively handles sparse signals and suppresses background noise while maintaining competitive performance. This approach offers a robust solution for high-stakes applications like clinical diagnosis where transparent, ante-hoc decision-making is critical for safe deployment.
AnchorMoE: Interpretable Time Series Classification via Anchor-Routed MoE
arXiv:2606.03631v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is pivotal in high-stakes domains, such as clinical diagnosis and industrial fault detection, where safe deployment necessitates transparent decision-making. However, isolating the temporal segments that drive model predictions is challenging because discriminative signals in real-world time series are typically sparse, heterogeneous, and heavily obscured by background noise. This paper, therefore, proposes AnchorMoE, an interpretable-by-construction classification framework. Built upon a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture, AnchorMoE encodes multi-view representations of local patches and routes them to specialized experts, ensuring that the final prediction is formulated as an exact additive decomposition over the input segments, facilitating ante-hoc transparency rather than relying on post-hoc estimations. To maintain the reliability of this decomposition under sparse signal distributions, we introduce a geometric orthogonality constraint that penalizes representational redundancy, compelling distinct experts to specialize in heterogeneous predictive patterns. Furthermore, an uncertainty-aware reliability gate is designed to dynamically calibrate the contribution of each segment, effectively suppressing residual background noise. Extensive experiments on real-world and synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that AnchorMoE achieves highly competitive classification performance while faithfully grounding its decisions in the raw time series.
Abstract:Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is pivotal in high-stakes domains, such as clinical diagnosis and industrial fault detection, where safe deployment necessitates transparent decision-making. However, isolating the temporal segments that drive model predictions is challenging because discriminative signals in real-world time series are typically sparse, heterogeneous, and heavily obscured by background noise. This paper, therefore, proposes AnchorMoE, an interpretable-by-construction classification framework. Built upon a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture, AnchorMoE encodes multi-view representations of local patches and routes them to specialized experts, ensuring that the final prediction is formulated as an exact additive decomposition over the input segments, facilitating ante-hoc transparency rather than relying on post-hoc estimations. To maintain the reliability of this decomposition under sparse signal distributions, we introduce a geometric orthogonality constraint that penalizes representational redundancy, compelling distinct experts to specialize in heterogeneous predictive patterns. Furthermore, an uncertainty-aware reliability gate is designed to dynamically calibrate the contribution of each segment, effectively suppressing residual background noise. Extensive experiments on real-world and synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that AnchorMoE achieves highly competitive classification performance while faithfully grounding its decisions in the raw time series.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2606.03631 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2606.03631v2 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.03631 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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