aiqbench analysis
This study provides a rigorous empirical analysis of VRAM consumption in quantized agentic workloads, demonstrating that closed-form analytical models often outperform complex learned baselines for forecasting memory usage. The findings indicate that code synthesis capabilities are primarily constrained by intrinsic model capacity rather than available memory headroom when using 4-bit quantization on H100 hardware. Consequently, the research suggests there is little justification for deploying sophisticated predictive VRAM models in highly quantized regimes where weight storage dominates activation overheads.
Anatomy of a Quantized Agent: VRAM Stability and Forecasting in Code-Synthesis Agentic Workloads
arXiv:2608.15117v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Analytical models of peak VRAM consumption for LLM inference decompose memory into weight-storage, KV-cache, and activation terms parameterized by step count, tool invocations, and context expansion. We evaluate this decomposition empirically within a strictly scoped measurement study: a LangGraph-based CUDA-kernel-synthesis agent (AgentK), a 4-bit quantization family (Q4 K M), a single NVIDIA H100 GPU, and four LLM backbones across 1,920 trajectories. Focusing on peak-memory forecasting behavior, we report two primary observations. First, closed-form analytical models achieve competitive accuracy when provided with two empirical constants: loaded-weight VRAM and a fixed activation-memory overhead. Supplied with live GPU readings and ground-truth trajectory parameters, the closed-form model matches or outperforms the best learned baseline on three of the four backbones (test MAPE 2.2-4.4% vs. 3.4-6.5%, p = 0.76). The exception is the smallest backbone (Phi-4-mini), where minimal VRAM variance (CV 0.3%) causes dynamic modeling to underperform simple regression. Second, compile success strictly bifurcates by backbone capacity (from 5.7% for Phi-4-mini to 62.0% for Qwen2.5-Coder-14B), demonstrating that functional code synthesis remains constrained by intrinsic LLM capabilities rather than available memory. Furthermore, because overall peak-memory variance is remarkably low across all backbones (CV 0.3-9.4%), learned prompt-feature regression offers statistically insignificant improvements over a constant-mean baseline. Consequently, we find no justification for deploying complex predictive VRAM models in highly quantized, weight-dominated regimes. We release the evaluated corpus and anonymized framework to support replication.
Abstract:Analytical models of peak VRAM consumption for LLM inference decompose memory into weight-storage, KV-cache, and activation terms parameterized by step count, tool invocations, and context expansion. We evaluate this decomposition empirically within a strictly scoped measurement study: a LangGraph-based CUDA-kernel-synthesis agent (AgentK), a 4-bit quantization family (Q4 K M), a single NVIDIA H100 GPU, and four LLM backbones across 1,920 trajectories. Focusing on peak-memory forecasting behavior, we report two primary observations. First, closed-form analytical models achieve competitive accuracy when provided with two empirical constants: loaded-weight VRAM and a fixed activation-memory overhead. Supplied with live GPU readings and ground-truth trajectory parameters, the closed-form model matches or outperforms the best learned baseline on three of the four backbones (test MAPE 2.2-4.4% vs. 3.4-6.5%, p = 0.76). The exception is the smallest backbone (Phi-4-mini), where minimal VRAM variance (CV 0.3%) causes dynamic modeling to underperform simple regression. Second, compile success strictly bifurcates by backbone capacity (from 5.7% for Phi-4-mini to 62.0% for Qwen2.5-Coder-14B), demonstrating that functional code synthesis remains constrained by intrinsic LLM capabilities rather than available memory. Furthermore, because overall peak-memory variance is remarkably low across all backbones (CV 0.3-9.4%), learned prompt-feature regression offers statistically insignificant improvements over a constant-mean baseline. Consequently, we find no justification for deploying complex predictive VRAM models in highly quantized, weight-dominated regimes. We release the evaluated corpus and anonymized framework to support replication.
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing (cs.DC); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2608.15117 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2608.15117v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.15117 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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