aiqbench analysis
This empirical study reveals that while larger LLMs generate more faithful counterfactual self-explanations, these explanations remain unreliable without rigorous validation. The findings suggest that explanation quality is primarily driven by model capacity rather than prompting strategies like rationale guidance. Consequently, practitioners should treat generated rationales as behavioral evidence requiring verification rather than assumed truth.
An Empirical Study of Counterfactual Self-Explanations in LLMs
arXiv:2609.17119v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models can easily generate explanations for their own outputs, but such self-explanations are not necessarily faithful to the model's behavior. We study this issue through counterfactual self-explanations, where a model minimally edits an input so that its own prediction changes. Across sentiment analysis and natural language inference, we evaluate ten instruction-tuned models from the LLaMA-3 and Qwen-2.5 families, measuring faithfulness, minimality, and alignment with human-annotated rationales. Our results show that model scale is the strongest determinant of explanation quality: larger models are substantially more likely to generate counterfactuals that flip their own predictions and target decision-relevant evidence. In contrast, the rationale-guided condition produces edit-minimal counterfactuals that are also more human-aligned. However, it does not consistently improve faithfulness. Overall, counterfactual self-explanations can provide useful behavioral evidence about model decisions, but their reliability depends strongly on model capacity and should be empirically validated rather than assumed.
Abstract:Large language models can easily generate explanations for their own outputs, but such self-explanations are not necessarily faithful to the model's behavior. We study this issue through counterfactual self-explanations, where a model minimally edits an input so that its own prediction changes. Across sentiment analysis and natural language inference, we evaluate ten instruction-tuned models from the LLaMA-3 and Qwen-2.5 families, measuring faithfulness, minimality, and alignment with human-annotated rationales. Our results show that model scale is the strongest determinant of explanation quality: larger models are substantially more likely to generate counterfactuals that flip their own predictions and target decision-relevant evidence. In contrast, the rationale-guided condition produces edit-minimal counterfactuals that are also more human-aligned. However, it does not consistently improve faithfulness. Overall, counterfactual self-explanations can provide useful behavioral evidence about model decisions, but their reliability depends strongly on model capacity and should be empirically validated rather than assumed.
Computation and Language (cs.CL)
arXiv:2609.17119 [cs.CL]
(or arXiv:2609.17119v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.17119 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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