aiqbench analysis
This research addresses the computational inefficiency of deriving scaling laws by proposing a Bayesian optimization framework that reconstructs full experimental grids using only the best-loss frontier. By leveraging surrogate-fantasized evaluations and progressive compute expansion, the method achieves significant cost reductions while maintaining accuracy in predicting model performance across parameter scales. This advancement is critical for optimizing resource allocation in large-scale foundation model training without sacrificing predictive fidelity.
Amortizing Scaling Law Construction Costs
arXiv:2609.05016v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Scaling laws guide the design choices for training large foundation models, but deriving them involves training an exhaustive grid over hyperparameters, token budgets, and parameter counts, which is computationally expensive. Fitting a scaling law, however, only requires the best-loss frontier across compute scales, discarding most of the trained configurations. We propose a framework for efficient scaling law construction that formulates data collection as a Bayesian optimization problem, and introduce metrics for comparing scaling law fitting methods under constrained compute budgets. We find that progressively expanding the compute budget during acquisition, mirroring the compute-ordered evaluation of configurations in practice, substantially improves recovery efficiency. Augmenting the observed configurations with surrogate-fantasized evaluations then recovers the broader experimental grid, allowing accurate scaling law fitting without training every configuration. Together, these can closely match scaling law fits over a full dense grid at computational savings of up to $10\text{--}100\times$.
Abstract:Scaling laws guide the design choices for training large foundation models, but deriving them involves training an exhaustive grid over hyperparameters, token budgets, and parameter counts, which is computationally expensive. Fitting a scaling law, however, only requires the best-loss frontier across compute scales, discarding most of the trained configurations. We propose a framework for efficient scaling law construction that formulates data collection as a Bayesian optimization problem, and introduce metrics for comparing scaling law fitting methods under constrained compute budgets. We find that progressively expanding the compute budget during acquisition, mirroring the compute-ordered evaluation of configurations in practice, substantially improves recovery efficiency. Augmenting the observed configurations with surrogate-fantasized evaluations then recovers the broader experimental grid, allowing accurate scaling law fitting without training every configuration. Together, these can closely match scaling law fits over a full dense grid at computational savings of up to $10\text{--}100\times$.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2609.05016 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2609.05016v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.05016 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 241 words
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