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This research introduces AEGIS, a differentiable Mars climate model that integrates neural closures with traditional dynamical cores to address data scarcity in planetary forecasting. By exposing gradients for calibration, the framework enables machine learning to enhance physical simulations without relying on terrestrial analogs for validation. This approach represents a significant step toward applying AI techniques to solve complex problems in astrophysics and space exploration.
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AEGIS: Differentiable Mars Climate Model with Neural Closures

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2610.04081v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: General circulation models (GCMs) are the primary tool for simulating planetary atmospheres. They play a vital role in understanding Mars's atmosphere, as forecasting its unique weather is mission-critical for operations such as entry, descent, and landing. Mars poses unusual challenges for these models, as observations are sparse compared to Earth. In addition, a thin \co{} atmosphere alongside a radiatively active dust cycle creates a volatile atmosphere with large diurnal temperature swings and no true terrestrial analog for validation. Existing Mars GCMs, including the LMD PCM, the NASA Ames Mars GCM, and PlanetWRF, are mature and physically detailed but are implemented in legacy Fortran with finite-difference or finite-volume solvers, and they do not expose gradients for calibration or machine learning. Here we present AEGIS, a modular differentiable Mars climate model that couples Mars's unique atmospheric physics to the Dinosaur dynamical core, with interfaces for neural closures. We showcase stable ten-Mars-year simulations that reproduce the seasonal \co{} cycle while conserving the total \co{} inventory, capture realistic large-scale surface-temperature structure, and produce surface pressure that follows Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) topography. Gradients through coupled trajectories agree with finite differences and support physical calibration and neural training. We compare with conventional GCMs, highlighting the framework's computational efficiency and differentiability.

Abstract:General circulation models (GCMs) are the primary tool for simulating planetary atmospheres. They play a vital role in understanding Mars's atmosphere, as forecasting its unique weather is mission-critical for operations such as entry, descent, and landing. Mars poses unusual challenges for these models, as observations are sparse compared to Earth. In addition, a thin \co{} atmosphere alongside a radiatively active dust cycle creates a volatile atmosphere with large diurnal temperature swings and no true terrestrial analog for validation. Existing Mars GCMs, including the LMD PCM, the NASA Ames Mars GCM, and PlanetWRF, are mature and physically detailed but are implemented in legacy Fortran with finite-difference or finite-volume solvers, and they do not expose gradients for calibration or machine learning. Here we present AEGIS, a modular differentiable Mars climate model that couples Mars's unique atmospheric physics to the Dinosaur dynamical core, with interfaces for neural closures. We showcase stable ten-Mars-year simulations that reproduce the seasonal \co{} cycle while conserving the total \co{} inventory, capture realistic large-scale surface-temperature structure, and produce surface pressure that follows Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) topography. Gradients through coupled trajectories agree with finite differences and support physical calibration and neural training. We compare with conventional GCMs, highlighting the framework's computational efficiency and differentiability.

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

arXiv:2610.04081 [astro-ph.EP]

(or arXiv:2610.04081v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.04081 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 311 words

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