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This paper presents a novel algorithm for identifying discrete-time fractional-order dynamical systems by reformulating the problem as a least squares estimation task. The authors provide rigorous sample complexity analysis, deriving probabilistic bounds on parameter estimation error that validate the method's robustness against noisy data in complex biological and engineering models. While rooted in control theory, the focus on sample efficiency and statistical learning bounds places this work firmly within machine learning system identification.
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A Sampling Complexity-aware Framework for Discrete-time Fractional-Order Dynamical System Identification

arXiv3 min read

arXiv:2501.17499v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A variety of complex biological, natural and man-made systems exhibit non-Markovian dynamics that can be modeled through fractional order differential equations, yet, we lack sample comlexity aware system identification strategies. Towards this end, we propose an affine discrete-time fractional order dynamical system (FoDS) identification algorithm and provide a detailed sample complexity analysis. The algorithm effectively addresses the challenges of FoDS identification in the presence of noisy data. The proposed algorithm consists of two key steps. Firstly, it avoids solving higher-order polynomial equations, which would otherwise result in multiple potential solutions for the fractional orders. Secondly, the identification problem is reformulated as a least squares estimation, allowing us to infer the system parameters. We derive the expectation and probabilistic bounds for the FoDS parameter estimation error, assuming prior knowledge of the functions \( f \) and \( g \) in the FoDS model. The error decays at a rate of \( N = O\left( \frac{d}{\epsilon} \right) \), where \( N \) is the number of samples, \( d \) is the dimension of the state variable, and \( \epsilon \) represents the desired estimation accuracy. Simulation results demonstrate that our theoretical bounds are tight, validating the accuracy and robustness of this algorithm.

Abstract:A variety of complex biological, natural and man-made systems exhibit non-Markovian dynamics that can be modeled through fractional order differential equations, yet, we lack sample comlexity aware system identification strategies. Towards this end, we propose an affine discrete-time fractional order dynamical system (FoDS) identification algorithm and provide a detailed sample complexity analysis. The algorithm effectively addresses the challenges of FoDS identification in the presence of noisy data. The proposed algorithm consists of two key steps. Firstly, it avoids solving higher-order polynomial equations, which would otherwise result in multiple potential solutions for the fractional orders. Secondly, the identification problem is reformulated as a least squares estimation, allowing us to infer the system parameters. We derive the expectation and probabilistic bounds for the FoDS parameter estimation error, assuming prior knowledge of the functions \( f \) and \( g \) in the FoDS model. The error decays at a rate of \( N = O\left( \frac{d}{\epsilon} \right) \), where \( N \) is the number of samples, \( d \) is the dimension of the state variable, and \( \epsilon \) represents the desired estimation accuracy. Simulation results demonstrate that our theoretical bounds are tight, validating the accuracy and robustness of this algorithm.

Systems and Control (eess.SY); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2501.17499 [eess.SY]

(or arXiv:2501.17499v1 [eess.SY] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2501.17499 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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Full text under the publisher's open licence · 297 words

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