A Decision-Focused Neural Optimization Framework for Personalized Route Reproduction from Vehicle Trajectories

arXiv:2610.07857v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study formulates individual route reproduction as a shortest-path problem over learned driver-specific latent link costs. The central idea is that, once such latent costs are inferred from contextual information, observed routes can be reproduced without enumerating alternative route sets. We propose a neural pipeline that includes a perception model that embeds context covariates, which comprises individual characteristics, trip-specific attributes, and network-level traffic states, into the personalized link costs. A constrained optimization (CO) layer, which determines the shortest path (SP) based on these estimated costs, follows the perception encoder. To enable end-to-end training, we employ decision-focused learning to align the predicted shortest paths with observed routes. The implicit maximum likelihood estimation (iMLE) provides an approximate gradient of the loss function that contains the non-differentiable CO layer. Furthermore, a regularization term anchors the latent cost distribution to the empirical scale of observed link travel times, mitigating the scale ambiguity inherent in shortest-path supervision. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms baseline route choice models in path reproduction. The learned latent costs, interpreted as proxies for perceived travel costs, provide plausible explanations for heterogeneous route choices.

Abstract:This study formulates individual route reproduction as a shortest-path problem over learned driver-specific latent link costs. The central idea is that, once such latent costs are inferred from contextual information, observed routes can be reproduced without enumerating alternative route sets. We propose a neural pipeline that includes a perception model that embeds context covariates, which comprises individual characteristics, trip-specific attributes, and network-level traffic states, into the personalized link costs. A constrained optimization (CO) layer, which determines the shortest path (SP) based on these estimated costs, follows the perception encoder. To enable end-to-end training, we employ decision-focused learning to align the predicted shortest paths with observed routes. The implicit maximum likelihood estimation (iMLE) provides an approximate gradient of the loss function that contains the non-differentiable CO layer. Furthermore, a regularization term anchors the latent cost distribution to the empirical scale of observed link travel times, mitigating the scale ambiguity inherent in shortest-path supervision. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms baseline route choice models in path reproduction. The learned latent costs, interpreted as proxies for perceived travel costs, provide plausible explanations for heterogeneous route choices.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.07857 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.07857v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.07857 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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A Decision-Focused Neural Optimization Framework for Personalized Route Reproduction from Vehicle Trajectories

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