analiza aiqbench
This research identifies a fundamental blind spot in temporal link prediction models, which historically ignore the source node's activity level because standard evaluation metrics mathematically cancel this signal out. The authors propose Source Node Activity Modeling (SNAM), a lightweight method that significantly boosts accuracy and training speed across multiple state-of-the-art architectures without requiring retraining. By correcting this oversight, the study offers a generalizable improvement for dynamic graph learning in social networks and recommendation systems.
Your Temporal Link Predictor Is Blind to Who Is Active: A Missing Factor That Transfers Across Models
arXiv:2610.04869v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: An interaction has two parts: someone decides to act, and then chooses whom to act on. Temporal link prediction has concentrated on the second, and we show that it is blind to the first by construction: a standard negative keeps the real source and swaps the destination, and we prove that this cancels the source's activity exactly from the optimal score, so no model trained and evaluated this way is ever rewarded for learning it. Under the harder historical and inductive negatives, whose sources differ, the same factor becomes the dominant signal. We model it with Source Node Activity Modeling (SNAM), a self-exciting event intensity fitted by an exact point-process likelihood to decayed interaction counts the history states already contain; it has fewer than 20 parameters. On their own, never looking at the destination, these parameters beat DyGFormer and TPNet on four of five datasets under historical negatives. Added to the frozen scores of TPNet, TGN, DyGFormer and DSRD, four models of different design, without retraining anything, they raise AP on almost every backbone-dataset pair in both settings, by up to 25 points. Our full model ranks first overall against eleven baselines on 13 datasets and three protocols, and on million-event streams trains an epoch 9-100x faster than TPNet and DyGFormer. We conclude that source activity is a blind spot of temporal link prediction, and a cheap, transferable one to close. Code is available at https://github.com/Erutaner/Your-Temporal-Link-Predictor-Is-Blind-to-Who-Is-Active.
Abstract:An interaction has two parts: someone decides to act, and then chooses whom to act on. Temporal link prediction has concentrated on the second, and we show that it is blind to the first by construction: a standard negative keeps the real source and swaps the destination, and we prove that this cancels the source's activity exactly from the optimal score, so no model trained and evaluated this way is ever rewarded for learning it. Under the harder historical and inductive negatives, whose sources differ, the same factor becomes the dominant signal. We model it with Source Node Activity Modeling (SNAM), a self-exciting event intensity fitted by an exact point-process likelihood to decayed interaction counts the history states already contain; it has fewer than 20 parameters. On their own, never looking at the destination, these parameters beat DyGFormer and TPNet on four of five datasets under historical negatives. Added to the frozen scores of TPNet, TGN, DyGFormer and DSRD, four models of different design, without retraining anything, they raise AP on almost every backbone-dataset pair in both settings, by up to 25 points. Our full model ranks first overall against eleven baselines on 13 datasets and three protocols, and on million-event streams trains an epoch 9-100x faster than TPNet and DyGFormer. We conclude that source activity is a blind spot of temporal link prediction, and a cheap, transferable one to close. Code is available at this https URL.
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Social and Information Networks (cs.SI)
arXiv:2610.04869 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2610.04869v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.04869 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website.
Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them.
Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.
Text integral sub licența deschisă a publicației · 337 cuvinte
