When is a System Discoverable from Data? Discovery Requires Chaos

Title:When is a System Discoverable from Data? Discovery Requires Chaos

Abstract:The deep learning revolution has enabled major AI advances in physical sciences, particularly in discovering dynamical systems from observational data. Yet the reliability of learned surrogates and symbolically discovered models is often undermined by non-uniqueness: models may fit observed trajectories perfectly, but lack genuine predictive power. We show that chaos, despite its association with unpredictability, is often what makes governing equations discoverable. We prove that the classical Lorenz system is analytically discoverable and verify experimentally that for many systems out-of-domain generalization emerges precisely at chaos onset. Conservative systems, by contrast, are inherently non-discoverable from data alone. The prevalence of chaotic systems in benchmarks may have inadvertently obscured this limitation. These findings help explain why AI excels at weather forecasting, yet struggles in many engineering applications: the systems most amenable to discovery (chaotic ones) are often least amenable to control.

Dynamical Systems (math.DS); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Numerical Analysis (math.NA); Chaotic Dynamics (nlin.CD)

arXiv:2511.08860 [math.DS]

(or arXiv:2511.08860v3 [math.DS] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2511.08860 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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