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This paper introduces the Velocity Ambiguity Profile (VAP), a diagnostic tool for flow matching that decomposes training loss into irreducible ambiguity and reducible error components over time. By distinguishing between intrinsic limits and data limitations, the method enables targeted sampling strategies that significantly reduce velocity loss in feature flow tasks like CIFAR-100 DINOv2. The work advances the theoretical understanding of generative modeling convergence by providing a rigorous framework for analyzing where optimization efforts are most effective.
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Velocity Ambiguity Profiles: Time-Resolved Bayes-Risk Diagnostics for Flow Matching

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arXiv:2610.30107v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Flow matching trains a continuum of velocity regression problems but usually reports a loss averaged over interpolation time, obscuring which regions are limited by intrinsic ambiguity and which remain data-limited. We introduce the Velocity Ambiguity Profile (VAP), $\mathcal{A}_v(t)$, the time-local Bayes-risk floor of velocity prediction, and decompose time-resolved loss as $L_N(t)=\mathcal{A}_v(t)+R(t;N)$, where only the excess term $R(t;N)$ is reducible by more data or a different estimator. For $N$ training samples and a $K$-component mixture in the structured example, we prove two statistical benchmarks. In an intrinsic local-regression benchmark, $\mathcal{A}_v(t)$ enters the time-dependent noise factor of the standard nonparametric rate. In separated isotropic Gaussian mixtures, the Bayes velocity becomes locally affine, and a label-oracle residual-regression benchmark has parametric excess-risk scale $K\mathcal{A}_v(t)/N$, matched within the same separated residual Gaussian-location subproblem. Controlled Gaussian-mixture experiments validate this diagnostic through a dense transition sweep, calibrated oracle-to-blind and empirical-proxy audits, and a local controlled time-sampler stress test in which a frozen reducible-error proxy reduces reducible loss while cross-cell sensitivity delimits aggressive sampling. On CIFAR-100 DINOv2 feature flow, guided time sampling reduces uniformly evaluated velocity loss by $6.78\%$ and global feature Fr\'echet distance (FD) by $23.6\%$, while class-conditional kernel inception distance (KID) shows no improvement. VAP turns an averaged flow-matching objective into a time-resolved diagnostic for locating ambiguity-limited and data-limited regions.

Abstract:Flow matching trains a continuum of velocity regression problems but usually reports a loss averaged over interpolation time, obscuring which regions are limited by intrinsic ambiguity and which remain data-limited. We introduce the Velocity Ambiguity Profile (VAP), $\mathcal{A}_v(t)$, the time-local Bayes-risk floor of velocity prediction, and decompose time-resolved loss as $L_N(t)=\mathcal{A}_v(t)+R(t;N)$, where only the excess term $R(t;N)$ is reducible by more data or a different estimator. For $N$ training samples and a $K$-component mixture in the structured example, we prove two statistical benchmarks. In an intrinsic local-regression benchmark, $\mathcal{A}_v(t)$ enters the time-dependent noise factor of the standard nonparametric rate. In separated isotropic Gaussian mixtures, the Bayes velocity becomes locally affine, and a label-oracle residual-regression benchmark has parametric excess-risk scale $K\mathcal{A}_v(t)/N$, matched within the same separated residual Gaussian-location subproblem. Controlled Gaussian-mixture experiments validate this diagnostic through a dense transition sweep, calibrated oracle-to-blind and empirical-proxy audits, and a local controlled time-sampler stress test in which a frozen reducible-error proxy reduces reducible loss while cross-cell sensitivity delimits aggressive sampling. On CIFAR-100 DINOv2 feature flow, guided time sampling reduces uniformly evaluated velocity loss by $6.78\%$ and global feature Fréchet distance (FD) by $23.6\%$, while class-conditional kernel inception distance (KID) shows no improvement. VAP turns an averaged flow-matching objective into a time-resolved diagnostic for locating ambiguity-limited and data-limited regions.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2610.30107 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2610.30107v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.30107 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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