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This research introduces Uncertainty-Guided Refinement (UGR), a novel framework for improving long-horizon robot manipulation by selectively correcting only the most uncertain timesteps in action chunks. By decoupling the uncertainty estimation branch from the main predictor, the method achieves significant performance gains on dual-arm tasks without uniformly refining every step. This targeted approach addresses a key inefficiency in current action-chunking models, offering a more resource-efficient path toward robust visuomotor policies.
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Uncertainty-Guided Sparse Refinement for Action Chunking Transformer Policies

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arXiv:2609.15840v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning chunk-based visuomotor policies for long-horizon robot manipulation remains challenging. Recent action-chunking methods have shown promising performance by predicting temporally extended action sequences. However, their failures are often dominated by prediction errors at a small number of critical timesteps rather than uniformly poor predictions across the entire action chunk, making uniform refinement inefficient and insufficiently targeted. To address this bottleneck, we propose Uncertainty-Guided Refinement (UGR), a sparse refinement framework for chunk-based visuomotor policies. Specifically, UGR follows a coarse-to-refine design: it first predicts a full action chunk, estimates per-step temporal uncertainty from the coarse hidden states, and applies residual correction only to the most uncertain timesteps selected by a binary mask. The uncertainty branch is decoupled from the coarse action predictor, enabling clean attribution of the refinement gains to uncertainty-guided correction rather than additional predictor capacity. Extensive experiments on five dual-arm manipulation tasks from the RoboTwin benchmark show that UGR achieves the best success rate on four tasks, improves over the ACT baseline by up to 13% absolute, and outperforms both full-chunk and position-agnostic block refinement in ablation studies.

Abstract:Learning chunk-based visuomotor policies for long-horizon robot manipulation remains challenging. Recent action-chunking methods have shown promising performance by predicting temporally extended action sequences. However, their failures are often dominated by prediction errors at a small number of critical timesteps rather than uniformly poor predictions across the entire action chunk, making uniform refinement inefficient and insufficiently targeted. To address this bottleneck, we propose Uncertainty-Guided Refinement (UGR), a sparse refinement framework for chunk-based visuomotor policies. Specifically, UGR follows a coarse-to-refine design: it first predicts a full action chunk, estimates per-step temporal uncertainty from the coarse hidden states, and applies residual correction only to the most uncertain timesteps selected by a binary mask. The uncertainty branch is decoupled from the coarse action predictor, enabling clean attribution of the refinement gains to uncertainty-guided correction rather than additional predictor capacity. Extensive experiments on five dual-arm manipulation tasks from the RoboTwin benchmark show that UGR achieves the best success rate on four tasks, improves over the ACT baseline by up to 13% absolute, and outperforms both full-chunk and position-agnostic block refinement in ablation studies.

Robotics (cs.RO)

arXiv:2609.15840 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2609.15840v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.15840 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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