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This research proposes "Stockformer," a mutated Transformer architecture designed to handle stock price forecasting as a multivariate problem rather than simple autoregression. By leveraging attention mechanisms, the study addresses the inherent chaos of financial markets using deep learning techniques suitable for high-frequency trading environments. The work represents a specific application of machine learning models to computational finance, focusing on architectural innovation for time-series data.
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Transformer Based Time-Series Forecasting for Stock

arXiv2 min de cititArticolul și perspectiva sunt în engleză.

arXiv:2502.09625v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do every second even before the market opens. With recent advances in the development of machine learning and the amount of data the market generated over years, applying machine learning techniques such as deep learning neural networks is unavoidable. In this work, we modeled the task as a multivariate forecasting problem, instead of a naive autoregression problem. The multivariate analysis is done using the attention mechanism via applying a mutated version of the Transformer, "Stockformer", which we created.

Abstract:To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do every second even before the market opens. With recent advances in the development of machine learning and the amount of data the market generated over years, applying machine learning techniques such as deep learning neural networks is unavoidable. In this work, we modeled the task as a multivariate forecasting problem, instead of a naive autoregression problem. The multivariate analysis is done using the attention mechanism via applying a mutated version of the Transformer, "Stockformer", which we created.

Computational Finance (q-fin.CP); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2502.09625 [q-fin.CP]

(or arXiv:2502.09625v2 [q-fin.CP] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2502.09625 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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