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TopoBrick advances zero-shot IoT forecasting by leveraging knowledge graphs and agentic topology sampling to intelligently select exogenous variables, moving beyond isolated time-series analysis. This approach demonstrates that structurally aware variable selection significantly outperforms random or fixed methods in physically coupled environments like HVAC systems. The framework's ability to match fully trained models without additional training data represents a meaningful step toward scalable, context-aware building intelligence.
TopoBrick: Agentic Topology Sampling of Exogenous Variables for Zero-Shot Building IoT Forecasting
arXiv:2607.06349v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Building sensors are embedded in physical topology, spatial hierarchy, and operational context, yet existing forecasters often treat them as isolated time series or rely on fixed covariate sets. We present TopoBrick, a training-free framework for zero-shot building IoT (Internet-of-Things) forecasting. TopoBrick uses building knowledge graphs to construct a compact structural skeleton and employs an agentic topology sampler to select target-specific exogenous variables. The selected variables are organized by deployment-time availability, separating past-known sensor states from future-known calendar, schedule, and meteorological exogenous variables. Across three real-world buildings, TopoBrick outperforms strong zero-shot foundation-model baselines and remains competitive with fully trained building-specific models. Ablations show that topology-aware sampling is more reliable than random, ontology-only, or fixed-hop selection, especially for physically coupled HVAC and weather-driven sensing variables.
Abstract:Building sensors are embedded in physical topology, spatial hierarchy, and operational context, yet existing forecasters often treat them as isolated time series or rely on fixed covariate sets. We present TopoBrick, a training-free framework for zero-shot building IoT (Internet-of-Things) forecasting. TopoBrick uses building knowledge graphs to construct a compact structural skeleton and employs an agentic topology sampler to select target-specific exogenous variables. The selected variables are organized by deployment-time availability, separating past-known sensor states from future-known calendar, schedule, and meteorological exogenous variables. Across three real-world buildings, TopoBrick outperforms strong zero-shot foundation-model baselines and remains competitive with fully trained building-specific models. Ablations show that topology-aware sampling is more reliable than random, ontology-only, or fixed-hop selection, especially for physically coupled HVAC and weather-driven sensing variables.
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2607.06349 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2607.06349v2 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.06349 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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