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This research addresses critical reliability issues in time series agents by introducing TimeEvo, a framework that dynamically synthesizes tools to fill specific capability gaps rather than relying on static, pre-curated libraries. The approach effectively mitigates "silent harm" caused by generic self-revision and resolves human-agent tool misalignment, demonstrating consistent accuracy improvements across multiple model backbones. By evolving its own toolset based on diagnosed failures, the system offers a robust path toward more adaptive and trustworthy analytical AI agents.
TimeEvo: Failure-Driven Self-Evolution of a Time Series Agent
arXiv:2609.27277v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series agents answer analytical questions by calling external tools, and which tools they carry is decided by people before the agent runs. However, we identify two failures in this setup. Human-Agent Tool Misalignment: a library of 21 expert-curated tools helps on some tasks and hurts on others, dropping anomaly accuracy under every backbone we test. Silent Harm: one round of generic self-revision changes 147 answers and breaks 56 of them, while the final score moves by less than a point. Both follow from the same gap: whether a tool helps is decided question by question at runtime, while tools are supplied in advance and judged by a single average. To address this, we propose TimeEvo, which clusters an agent's diagnosed failures into capability gaps, plans a measurement for each, synthesizes evidence-only tools that fill them, and admits the candidate library only through a paired admission gate. Experiments on ten time series QA tasks and three backbones show that TimeEvo, starting from an empty library, improves accuracy on every task and every backbone, and that a library grown on a cheap model still gains when it is installed into stronger ones. Code is available at https://github.com/Muyiiiii/TimeEvo.
Abstract:Time series agents answer analytical questions by calling external tools, and which tools they carry is decided by people before the agent runs. However, we identify two failures in this setup. Human-Agent Tool Misalignment: a library of 21 expert-curated tools helps on some tasks and hurts on others, dropping anomaly accuracy under every backbone we test. Silent Harm: one round of generic self-revision changes 147 answers and breaks 56 of them, while the final score moves by less than a point. Both follow from the same gap: whether a tool helps is decided question by question at runtime, while tools are supplied in advance and judged by a single average. To address this, we propose TimeEvo, which clusters an agent's diagnosed failures into capability gaps, plans a measurement for each, synthesizes evidence-only tools that fill them, and admits the candidate library only through a paired admission gate. Experiments on ten time series QA tasks and three backbones show that TimeEvo, starting from an empty library, improves accuracy on every task and every backbone, and that a library grown on a cheap model still gains when it is installed into stronger ones. Code is available at this https URL.
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
arXiv:2609.27277 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2609.27277v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.27277 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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