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This paper revisits a two-decade-old conjecture suggesting that entangled qubits inherently suffer from correlated fully depolarizing noise, which could fundamentally limit the scalability of fault-tolerant quantum computers. The author argues that recent experimental progress now allows for empirical testing of this hypothesis on current devices, moving the discussion from theoretical speculation to practical validation. Ultimately, the work challenges standard noise models and invites scrutiny regarding the true limits of noisy intermediate-scale quantum systems.
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The Fully Depolarizing Noise Conjecture for Entangled Physical States: A Twenty-Year Perspective

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arXiv:2609.33508v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper I revisit my 2006 conjecture on correlated errors in entangled physical qubits, originally proposed as a potential obstruction to quantum fault tolerance. The conjecture asserts that, in any physical implementation of a quantum computer, the effective noise channel acting on entangled physical qubits contains a joint fully depolarizing component, with a rate comparable to that of two-qubit gate errors. This hypothesized structural constraint goes beyond standard noise models and, if valid, would pose a significant challenge to scalable quantum fault tolerance. The conjecture remains open, but recent advances in experimental quantum computing bring it within reach of empirical testing on current devices. I also discuss two related directions in my critical study of quantum computation: the role of noise sensitivity and computational complexity in noisy intermediate-scale quantum systems, and the statistical analysis of experimental claims of quantum advantage. Finally, since this paper is written for a volume honoring Yuri Gurevich, I include some reflections on the ways in which my scientific and personal trajectory became intertwined with Yuri's.

Abstract:In this paper I revisit my 2006 conjecture on correlated errors in entangled physical qubits, originally proposed as a potential obstruction to quantum fault tolerance. The conjecture asserts that, in any physical implementation of a quantum computer, the effective noise channel acting on entangled physical qubits contains a joint fully depolarizing component, with a rate comparable to that of two-qubit gate errors. This hypothesized structural constraint goes beyond standard noise models and, if valid, would pose a significant challenge to scalable quantum fault tolerance. The conjecture remains open, but recent advances in experimental quantum computing bring it within reach of empirical testing on current devices. I also discuss two related directions in my critical study of quantum computation: the role of noise sensitivity and computational complexity in noisy intermediate-scale quantum systems, and the statistical analysis of experimental claims of quantum advantage. Finally, since this paper is written for a volume honoring Yuri Gurevich, I include some reflections on the ways in which my scientific and personal trajectory became intertwined with Yuri's.

Quantum Physics (quant-ph); Computational Complexity (cs.CC)

arXiv:2609.33508 [quant-ph]

(or arXiv:2609.33508v1 [quant-ph] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.33508 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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