SwitchPFN: Shared Switching Dynamics for Frozen In-Context Time Series Classification

Abstract:Tabular foundation models (TFMs) provide a promising route to time-series classification, but their effectiveness depends on how sequential data are converted into tabular representations. Existing representations face two challenges: global aggregation can lose the order of temporal evolution, while features computed in independently fitted coordinate systems may not have consistent meanings across sequences. We therefore view representation design for TFMs as a problem in its own right: the representation should preserve local temporal transitions while maintaining a shared feature definition across samples. We propose SwitchPFN, which learns a shared projection and regime codebook from the training sequences, making local dynamic operators and transition features directly comparable across samples. Across the evaluated benchmarks, SwitchPFN achieves the highest mean accuracy among the evaluated methods, improving over the strongest baseline by 4.47% relatively. Ablation studies, parameter sensitivity analyses, and reduced-training-data experiments further examine the contributions of the representation, its main design choices, and its behavior when labeled data are limited.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2609.29814 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2609.29814v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.29814 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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