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This study investigates the efficacy of role-specific training counts in ranking errors within knowledge graphs, finding that learned continuous metrics consistently outperform binary indicators across various ensemble configurations. The analysis highlights how evaluation policies and relation weighting significantly impact error-reversal phenomena, offering actionable diagnostics for model calibration rather than proposing a new causal mechanism. These findings provide critical insights for researchers optimizing uncertainty quantification in graph-based machine learning systems.
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Role Support in Knowledge-Graph Error Ranking: Predictor Regimes and Evaluation Policies

arXiv3 min de cititArticolul și perspectiva sunt în engleză.

arXiv:2512.22318v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: When do role-specific training counts improve knowledge-graph error ranking? We evaluate fifteen from-scratch predictors, nine development-selected continuation stages, and six fixed ensembles across three static graphs. A positive penalty for missing training support has no stable error-ranking orientation: stronger ComplEx training reverses its pooled error AUROC from 0.689 to 0.364 on FB15k-237, and from 0.729 to 0.430 in a prospectively specified CoDEx-S check. Pair decomposition shows that reversal also survives pair-weighted within-relation evaluation, but not equal-relation averaging. The statement depends on which relations and query pairs receive weight. Learned continuous counts remain useful: they improve AURC and Brier beyond explicit ensemble disagreement in twelve original ensemble/head comparisons and satisfy all four predefined external-dataset AURC contrasts. Binary indicators add no information beyond their defining counts and have less stable fitting effects. Candidate, target, population and acceptance policies change the comparisons; fixed development thresholds do not preserve a common test answer rate. The external study was fixed before inspection of its test outcomes, whereas subsequent explanations and reused-graph controls are explicitly exploratory. These measurements support relation-aware count baselines and policy-specific support diagnostics, not a new uncertainty decomposition, causal training mechanism, calibrated factual truth, or graph-population guarantee. Saved checkpoints, ledgers and separately authored numerical implementation replays make the scoped findings inspectable.

Abstract:When do role-specific training counts improve knowledge-graph error ranking? We evaluate fifteen from-scratch predictors, nine development-selected continuation stages, and six fixed ensembles across three static graphs. A positive penalty for missing training support has no stable error-ranking orientation: stronger ComplEx training reverses its pooled error AUROC from 0.689 to 0.364 on FB15k-237, and from 0.729 to 0.430 in a prospectively specified CoDEx-S check. Pair decomposition shows that reversal also survives pair-weighted within-relation evaluation, but not equal-relation averaging. The statement depends on which relations and query pairs receive weight. Learned continuous counts remain useful: they improve AURC and Brier beyond explicit ensemble disagreement in twelve original ensemble/head comparisons and satisfy all four predefined external-dataset AURC contrasts. Binary indicators add no information beyond their defining counts and have less stable fitting effects. Candidate, target, population and acceptance policies change the comparisons; fixed development thresholds do not preserve a common test answer rate. The external study was fixed before inspection of its test outcomes, whereas subsequent explanations and reused-graph controls are explicitly exploratory. These measurements support relation-aware count baselines and policy-specific support diagnostics, not a new uncertainty decomposition, causal training mechanism, calibrated factual truth, or graph-population guarantee. Saved checkpoints, ledgers and separately authored numerical implementation replays make the scoped findings inspectable.

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

arXiv:2512.22318 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2512.22318v3 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2512.22318 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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