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PRISM advances clinical prognosis by integrating heterogeneous data streams—including numerical EHR tokens, physiological waveforms, and population memory—into a multimodal language model architecture. The study demonstrates that representation-space retrieval significantly boosts diagnostic accuracy on large-scale benchmarks compared to baselines lacking pre-arrival history or frozen encoders. This work highlights the efficacy of structure-aware fusion techniques for handling complex medical time-series data without relying on individual retrieved records in prompts.
Retrieval-Augmented Multimodal Language Model with Heterogeneous Evidence Integration for Clinical Prognosis
arXiv:2610.13510v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Clinical prognosis requires integrating structured measurements, physiological waveforms, longitudinal history, and population context. We introduce PRISM (Population-Retrieved Inference for Structured Multimodal Prognosis), a multimodal language model that combines per-feature numerical tokenization, recency-weighted aggregation of longitudinal ECGs, and a dual-modality population memory bank. Retrieval operates in representation space: the model receives mean-pooled embeddings of similar training-cohort encounters, while no individual retrieved record enters the prompt. On the 1,443-task MDS-ED benchmark, PRISM achieves AUROCs of 86.2% for diagnosis, 93.1% for deterioration, 91.8% for ICU admission, and 92.8% for mortality. These results use a 96-hour pre-arrival window unavailable to reported baselines. With benchmark-window inputs only, PRISM reaches 0.8895 AUROC, compared with 0.8937 for UniPACT and 0.8889 for MDS-ED. A matched-input compact fusion model using the same five evidence streams and frozen encoders reaches 0.7652 AUROC, versus 0.9092 for PRISM. Replacing numerical EHR encoding with text serialization reduces AUROC by 3.66 points; removing pre-arrival history reduces it by 1.97 points; and zeroing retrieval reduces it by 0.99 points. Genuine retrieval outperforms random-neighbor retrieval by 0.97 macro-average points, although a paired task-level sign test does not establish a uniform advantage (p=0.067). On the external MC-MED cohort, supervised fine-tuning reaches 0.8611 AUROC, compared with 0.8227 for locally trained gradient boosting and 0.7841 for source-only PRISM. These results support structure-aware multimodal integration and supervised external adaptation.
Abstract:Clinical prognosis requires integrating structured measurements, physiological waveforms, longitudinal history, and population context. We introduce PRISM (Population-Retrieved Inference for Structured Multimodal Prognosis), a multimodal language model that combines per-feature numerical tokenization, recency-weighted aggregation of longitudinal ECGs, and a dual-modality population memory bank. Retrieval operates in representation space: the model receives mean-pooled embeddings of similar training-cohort encounters, while no individual retrieved record enters the prompt. On the 1,443-task MDS-ED benchmark, PRISM achieves AUROCs of 86.2% for diagnosis, 93.1% for deterioration, 91.8% for ICU admission, and 92.8% for mortality. These results use a 96-hour pre-arrival window unavailable to reported baselines. With benchmark-window inputs only, PRISM reaches 0.8895 AUROC, compared with 0.8937 for UniPACT and 0.8889 for MDS-ED. A matched-input compact fusion model using the same five evidence streams and frozen encoders reaches 0.7652 AUROC, versus 0.9092 for PRISM. Replacing numerical EHR encoding with text serialization reduces AUROC by 3.66 points; removing pre-arrival history reduces it by 1.97 points; and zeroing retrieval reduces it by 0.99 points. Genuine retrieval outperforms random-neighbor retrieval by 0.97 macro-average points, although a paired task-level sign test does not establish a uniform advantage (p=0.067). On the external MC-MED cohort, supervised fine-tuning reaches 0.8611 AUROC, compared with 0.8227 for locally trained gradient boosting and 0.7841 for source-only PRISM. These results support structure-aware multimodal integration and supervised external adaptation.
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computation and Language (cs.CL)
arXiv:2610.13510 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2610.13510v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.13510 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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