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This study reveals that protein foundation models like ESM2-8M often rely on retrieving statistical priors rather than detecting specific biological signals, leading to confident but incorrect predictions when actual sequences deviate from common norms. The findings highlight a critical gap between model confidence and mechanistic accuracy, suggesting that high-stakes applications will require granular verification of individual circuits and frequency bands to distinguish genuine biological recognition from default retrieval.
Retrieval and competition: how a protein foundation model starts a protein
arXiv:2605.16331v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Protein language models are increasingly used to guide experimental and clinical decisions, yet it is often unclear whether a confident prediction reflects recognition of biological evidence or retrieval of a statistical default. We examine this distinction for a near-universal biological rule, that proteins begin with methionine, by tracing the computational pathway through which ESM2-8M produces this prediction. The model does not detect methionine at the masked position. Instead, it retrieves a methionine-favouring signal from a reference representation at the beginning-of-sequence token via a position-specific query assembled across layers, with the final output emerging through competition with context-dependent circuits. To understand how positional information reaches the readout, we introduce a norm-direction decomposition of attention scores within rotary frequency bands. Positional encoding operates through coupled changes in query norm and angular alignment distributed across these bands. On sequences whose true N-terminus is not methionine, where the biological question matters, the model predicts methionine anyway. This is not a correct prediction produced by an unexpected mechanism, but the output of a positional-prior retrieval circuit that matches the statistical average and fails where biology diverges from it. Distinguishing the two requires resolution at the level of individual circuits, frequency bands, and query composition, suggesting that mechanistic verification will be necessary, and challenging, for predictions where the biological stakes are higher. Even for the simplest biological rule, the model's prediction is mediated by a distributed computational circuit rather than direct recognition, suggesting that increasing task complexity will further obscure the relationship between model confidence and underlying biological evidence.
Abstract:Protein language models are increasingly used to guide experimental and clinical decisions, yet it is often unclear whether a confident prediction reflects recognition of biological evidence or retrieval of a statistical default. We examine this distinction for a near-universal biological rule, that proteins begin with methionine, by tracing the computational pathway through which ESM2-8M produces this prediction. The model does not detect methionine at the masked position. Instead, it retrieves a methionine-favouring signal from a reference representation at the beginning-of-sequence token via a position-specific query assembled across layers, with the final output emerging through competition with context-dependent circuits. To understand how positional information reaches the readout, we introduce a norm-direction decomposition of attention scores within rotary frequency bands. Positional encoding operates through coupled changes in query norm and angular alignment distributed across these bands. On sequences whose true N-terminus is not methionine, where the biological question matters, the model predicts methionine anyway. This is not a correct prediction produced by an unexpected mechanism, but the output of a positional-prior retrieval circuit that matches the statistical average and fails where biology diverges from it. Distinguishing the two requires resolution at the level of individual circuits, frequency bands, and query composition, suggesting that mechanistic verification will be necessary, and challenging, for predictions where the biological stakes are higher. Even for the simplest biological rule, the model's prediction is mediated by a distributed computational circuit rather than direct recognition, suggesting that increasing task complexity will further obscure the relationship between model confidence and underlying biological evidence.
Biomolecules (q-bio.BM); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
arXiv:2605.16331 [q-bio.BM]
(or arXiv:2605.16331v2 [q-bio.BM] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.16331 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
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