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This research advances the theoretical foundations of AI by extending structural causal models to handle relational data, enabling systems to reason about unseen combinations of objects and interventions. The proposed relational neural causal models demonstrate provably correct identification of causal queries in complex environments like simulated traffic scenes, addressing critical gaps in generalization under unobserved confounding.
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Relational Structural Causal Models

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arXiv:2606.14892v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: An artificial intelligence must have a model of its environment that is causal, supporting reasoning about interventions and counterfactuals, and also combinatorial, supporting generalization to unseen combinations of objects. In this work, we formally study when and how such a model can be learned. We develop relational structural causal models, extending structural causal models (Pearl 2009) to settings where objects and their relations vary. First, we show how answers to not only causal but also observational queries about unseen combinations of objects can not be identified without further assumptions. To enable such identification--including in the presence of unobserved confounding--we define relational causal graphs and derive symbolic identification criteria. Finally, we propose relational neural causal models, a provably correct approach that outperforms non-relational baselines on simulated traffic scenes with varying cars, signals, and pedestrians.

Abstract:An artificial intelligence must have a model of its environment that is causal, supporting reasoning about interventions and counterfactuals, and also combinatorial, supporting generalization to unseen combinations of objects. In this work, we formally study when and how such a model can be learned. We develop relational structural causal models, extending structural causal models (Pearl 2009) to settings where objects and their relations vary. First, we show how answers to not only causal but also observational queries about unseen combinations of objects can not be identified without further assumptions. To enable such identification--including in the presence of unobserved confounding--we define relational causal graphs and derive symbolic identification criteria. Finally, we propose relational neural causal models, a provably correct approach that outperforms non-relational baselines on simulated traffic scenes with varying cars, signals, and pedestrians.

Proceedings of the Forty-Third International Conference on Machine Learning. Code available at this https URL

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Social and Information Networks (cs.SI); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

arXiv:2606.14892 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2606.14892v2 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.14892 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

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