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This research bridges classical queueing theory with decentralized multi-agent reinforcement learning to optimize hospital patient flow without relying on stationary assumptions. By embedding physical priors into a Dec-POMDP framework, the system enables autonomous departments to negotiate routing and resource scaling while maintaining clinical safety constraints. The approach demonstrates significant reductions in cumulative system delay compared to static models or independent baselines using real-world trajectory data.
Physics-Informed Multi-Agent Coordination for Hospital Patient Flow Optimization
arXiv:2609.37022v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Efficient patient flow coordination across autonomous hospital departments is critical for mitigating overcrowding and balancing resource utilization. While classical queueing theory, specifically open Baskett--Chandy--Muntz--Palacios (BCMP) networks, provides an interpretable mathematical topology for healthcare operations, analytical models rely on stationary assumptions and fixed routing matrices that degrade under state-dependent real-world dynamics. Conversely, centralized reinforcement learning approaches struggle to accommodate the decentralized structure of hospital governance, where individual clinical departments function with localized observations, heterogeneous resources, and divergent operational objectives. In this paper, we present a Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) framework titled \emph{Physics-Informed Multi-Agent Coordination}, which embeds empirically calibrated BCMP queueing topologies as physical priors within a decentralized multi-agent reinforcement learning architecture. Formulated as a Decentralized Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (Dec-POMDP) under coupled resource constraints, our method enables autonomous departmental agents to cooperatively negotiate patient routing and dynamic service scaling. To mitigate environmental non-stationarity without inducing excessive communication overhead, agents exchange localized action fingerprints along network edges and optimize a spatially decomposed reward structure. Empirical evaluations driven by real-world MIMIC-IV patient trajectories indicate that this cooperative multi-agent approach substantially reduces cumulative system delay compared to static Markovian approximations, heuristic dispatching, and independent multi-agent baselines, while maintaining clinical safety constraints.
Abstract:Efficient patient flow coordination across autonomous hospital departments is critical for mitigating overcrowding and balancing resource utilization. While classical queueing theory, specifically open Baskett--Chandy--Muntz--Palacios (BCMP) networks, provides an interpretable mathematical topology for healthcare operations, analytical models rely on stationary assumptions and fixed routing matrices that degrade under state-dependent real-world dynamics. Conversely, centralized reinforcement learning approaches struggle to accommodate the decentralized structure of hospital governance, where individual clinical departments function with localized observations, heterogeneous resources, and divergent operational objectives. In this paper, we present a Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) framework titled \emph{Physics-Informed Multi-Agent Coordination}, which embeds empirically calibrated BCMP queueing topologies as physical priors within a decentralized multi-agent reinforcement learning architecture. Formulated as a Decentralized Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (Dec-POMDP) under coupled resource constraints, our method enables autonomous departmental agents to cooperatively negotiate patient routing and dynamic service scaling. To mitigate environmental non-stationarity without inducing excessive communication overhead, agents exchange localized action fingerprints along network edges and optimize a spatially decomposed reward structure. Empirical evaluations driven by real-world MIMIC-IV patient trajectories indicate that this cooperative multi-agent approach substantially reduces cumulative system delay compared to static Markovian approximations, heuristic dispatching, and independent multi-agent baselines, while maintaining clinical safety constraints.
Accepted to PRIMA 2026 (Full paper). 16 pages, 2 figures, 3 tables
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Multiagent Systems (cs.MA)
I.2.11; I.2.6; J.3
arXiv:2609.37022 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2609.37022v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.37022 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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