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This research introduces PhyMamba, a novel architecture that fuses electrochemical physics with Mamba state-space models to significantly improve battery health forecasting accuracy. By embedding physical aging constraints directly into the sequence modeling process, the framework reduces prediction error by over 30% without requiring intrusive internal sensor measurements. This approach represents a meaningful advancement in applying machine learning to solve complex, real-world degradation problems within energy storage systems.
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PhyMamba: Physics-Modulated Mamba for Robust Battery Health Prognostics

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arXiv:2608.27978v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Battery health prognostics is a core function in battery management systems (BMSs), yet long-horizon health forecasting from BMS signals remains challenging due to operating-condition dependency and sensor noise. In this paper, we propose PhyMamba, a two-stage physics-modulated Mamba framework that integrates electrochemical aging into sequence modelling. PhyMamba does not require explicit identification of internal aging parameters, which often relies on intrusive measurements. In stage-1, a lightweight Mamba encoder first processes BMS signals and produces a latent representation that is transformed via an aging parameterization module, into physics-informed aging features. In stage-2, a customized Mamba forecasting backbone performs multi-cycle prediction, where physics is tightly integrated to regulate the model's internal temporal updates toward degradation-consistent evolution. Experiments on three public datasets under multiple forecast horizons show that PhyMamba achieves the best aggregated performance, with an overall mean error reduction of 31.8% compared with a diverse range of baselines. PhyMamba also offers an optimized accuracy-efficiency trade-off, which supports practical deployment for robust battery health prognostics.

Abstract:Battery health prognostics is a core function in battery management systems (BMSs), yet long-horizon health forecasting from BMS signals remains challenging due to operating-condition dependency and sensor noise. In this paper, we propose PhyMamba, a two-stage physics-modulated Mamba framework that integrates electrochemical aging into sequence modelling. PhyMamba does not require explicit identification of internal aging parameters, which often relies on intrusive measurements. In stage-1, a lightweight Mamba encoder first processes BMS signals and produces a latent representation that is transformed via an aging parameterization module, into physics-informed aging features. In stage-2, a customized Mamba forecasting backbone performs multi-cycle prediction, where physics is tightly integrated to regulate the model's internal temporal updates toward degradation-consistent evolution. Experiments on three public datasets under multiple forecast horizons show that PhyMamba achieves the best aggregated performance, with an overall mean error reduction of 31.8% compared with a diverse range of baselines. PhyMamba also offers an optimized accuracy-efficiency trade-off, which supports practical deployment for robust battery health prognostics.

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Systems and Control (eess.SY)

arXiv:2608.27978 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2608.27978v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.27978 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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