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This paper introduces OLMo-Detect, a rigorous benchmark addressing critical flaws in current membership inference attacks by controlling for confounders across pre-training, mid-training, and post-training stages. The study reveals that attack performance is heavily influenced by data type rather than training stage alone, with curated math data proving significantly more detectable than other corpora. Furthermore, the research demonstrates a lack of robustness in unsupervised methods against distribution shifts, highlighting vulnerabilities that persist even as model scale increases beyond 13B parameters.
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OLMo-Detect: A Multi-Stage, Confounder-Controlled Benchmark for Membership Inference on Large Language Models

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arXiv:2610.02986v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Membership inference on large language models (LLMs) aims to determine whether a given text sample was included in an LLM's training data, without access to its training corpus. Despite recent progress, existing benchmarks suffer from three limitations: limited coverage of training stages, insufficient distributional alignment between members and non-members, and lack of rigorous filtering of non-members against the training corpus. To address these limitations, we propose OLMo-Detect, a multi-stage, confounder-controlled benchmark built upon the fully open OLMo 2 pipeline. OLMo-Detect spans pre-training, mid-training, and post-training, explicitly aligns members and non-members on three key axes, and rigorously filters non-members via infini-gram. To assess robustness to distribution shifts, we further introduce OLMo-Detect (Shifted), a variant where members are misaligned with non-members. We evaluate 15 unsupervised and 3 supervised membership inference attacks (MIAs) across the OLMo 2 family, finding that: (i) overall performance is limited: the best unsupervised and supervised MIAs both reach an AUC of only 0.68, and supervised MIAs degrade under cross-domain evaluation; (ii) MIA performance peaks at mid-training and is lower at pre-training and post-training, a pattern driven by data type rather than a stage effect: curated math data is far more detectable than other types; (iii) overall scores improve from 1B to 13B but plateau at 32B; and (iv) no unsupervised MIA is robust to distribution shifts, with AUCs shifting by up to 0.42. Finally, we find that our findings on OLMo 2 generalize to OLMo 3 and non-OLMo models.

Abstract:Membership inference on large language models (LLMs) aims to determine whether a given text sample was included in an LLM's training data, without access to its training corpus. Despite recent progress, existing benchmarks suffer from three limitations: limited coverage of training stages, insufficient distributional alignment between members and non-members, and lack of rigorous filtering of non-members against the training corpus. To address these limitations, we propose OLMo-Detect, a multi-stage, confounder-controlled benchmark built upon the fully open OLMo 2 pipeline. OLMo-Detect spans pre-training, mid-training, and post-training, explicitly aligns members and non-members on three key axes, and rigorously filters non-members via infini-gram. To assess robustness to distribution shifts, we further introduce OLMo-Detect (Shifted), a variant where members are misaligned with non-members. We evaluate 15 unsupervised and 3 supervised membership inference attacks (MIAs) across the OLMo 2 family, finding that: (i) overall performance is limited: the best unsupervised and supervised MIAs both reach an AUC of only 0.68, and supervised MIAs degrade under cross-domain evaluation; (ii) MIA performance peaks at mid-training and is lower at pre-training and post-training, a pattern driven by data type rather than a stage effect: curated math data is far more detectable than other types; (iii) overall scores improve from 1B to 13B but plateau at 32B; and (iv) no unsupervised MIA is robust to distribution shifts, with AUCs shifting by up to 0.42. Finally, we find that our findings on OLMo 2 generalize to OLMo 3 and non-OLMo models.

Computation and Language (cs.CL)

arXiv:2610.02986 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2610.02986v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02986 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

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