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This survey quantifies self-reported productivity gains among technical workers, distinguishing between 'value' creation and mere task acceleration to avoid overestimating AI's impact. The data indicates a median 2x increase in work value by early 2026, with respondents projecting further growth, though internal inconsistencies suggest caution in interpreting the magnitude of these claims without external validation.
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Measuring the Self-Reported Impact of Early-2026 AI on Technical Worker Productivity

METR23 min de cititArticolul și perspectiva sunt în engleză.

In February–April 2026, we ran a survey of 349 technical workers (including 87 software engineers, 71 researchers, 129 academics and PhD students, and 48 founders and managers) about their usage of AI tools. Compared to previous work, our survey is one of the more detailed surveys of technical workers’ self-reported gains from frontier AI tools.1 We attempt to capture gains due to AI in terms of ‘value’ (how much more value are you creating with AI), rather than ‘speed’ (how long would it have taken you to do these tasks without AI). These can give different answers in principle, in particular if using AI changes the distribution of tasks you work on. For example, researchers could use AI to quickly build an interactive dashboard for their data, which would have taken significantly longer without AI but isn’t that important for their project. We provide more detail on the distinction between value and speed gains in our previous research. We think that the distinction between ‘value’ and ‘speed’ gains is important because value is closer to the idea that survey designers typically care about, whereas our sense is that it is common for respondents to think in terms of speed, and…

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