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This paper introduces HARP, a framework that decouples preference inference from LLM reasoning by maintaining numeric posterior distributions updated via Bayes' rule rather than relying on prompt text. By separating the estimation of hidden agent preferences from the language model's generative capabilities, the method reduces error propagation and achieves optimal Bayesian regret in heterogeneous multi-agent orchestration tasks. This represents a significant theoretical advance for scaling autonomous agent systems where private incentives must be accurately modeled without compromising the core reasoning engine.
Large Language Model Orchestration under Heterogeneous Preferences via Explicit Persona Inference
arXiv:2610.07587v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM orchestration investigates how an orchestrator coordinates a group of autonomous agents to achieve common goals or maximize collective welfare. The agents are typically heterogeneous, each holding a private preference that it pursues but does not reveal. Inferring such hidden preferences from behavior has been a subject of long-standing research in game theory and multi-agent systems. The core challenge lies in maintaining a belief over every agent's preference and updating it from the agents' observed actions. Existing LLM orchestrators carry that belief as prompt text with no explicit update rule. This lets early errors persist and propagate rather than be corrected. We therefore propose \textbf{HARP} (Heterogeneous-preference Agent oRchestration via Preference inference), a novel framework that moves the belief out of the prompt. Specifically, HARP maintains one numeric posterior per agent over a finite set of candidate preferences and updates it in closed form by Bayes' rule. The language model supplies only actions and per-candidate likelihoods, so estimation is decoupled from its reasoning. We prove that HARP attains the same $\tilde O(\sqrt K)$ Bayesian regret as explicit joint inference when the factorization is exact. Furthermore, HARP\textsuperscript{+} augments planning with a bonus for actions that distinguish the candidates, so inference continues even when the optimal action is uninformative. Empirical results on three substrates, ranging from payoffs the preferences fully determine, through payoffs that depend on more than them, to scales where explicit joint inference is infeasible, demonstrate that HARP\textsuperscript{+} is the strongest non-oracle method across the class our theory identifies.
Abstract:LLM orchestration investigates how an orchestrator coordinates a group of autonomous agents to achieve common goals or maximize collective welfare. The agents are typically heterogeneous, each holding a private preference that it pursues but does not reveal. Inferring such hidden preferences from behavior has been a subject of long-standing research in game theory and multi-agent systems. The core challenge lies in maintaining a belief over every agent's preference and updating it from the agents' observed actions. Existing LLM orchestrators carry that belief as prompt text with no explicit update rule. This lets early errors persist and propagate rather than be corrected. We therefore propose \textbf{HARP} (Heterogeneous-preference Agent oRchestration via Preference inference), a novel framework that moves the belief out of the prompt. Specifically, HARP maintains one numeric posterior per agent over a finite set of candidate preferences and updates it in closed form by Bayes' rule. The language model supplies only actions and per-candidate likelihoods, so estimation is decoupled from its reasoning. We prove that HARP attains the same $\tilde O(\sqrt K)$ Bayesian regret as explicit joint inference when the factorization is exact. Furthermore, HARP\textsuperscript{+} augments planning with a bonus for actions that distinguish the candidates, so inference continues even when the optimal action is uninformative. Empirical results on three substrates, ranging from payoffs the preferences fully determine, through payoffs that depend on more than them, to scales where explicit joint inference is infeasible, demonstrate that HARP\textsuperscript{+} is the strongest non-oracle method across the class our theory identifies.
Computation and Language (cs.CL)
arXiv:2610.07587 [cs.CL]
(or arXiv:2610.07587v1 [cs.CL] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.07587 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
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